/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsaolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fethlog.png)
-
Canaan Markneh
23'
-
Abel Yalew Tilahun
31'
-
Abel Yalew
31'
-
Abel Yalew Tilahun
77'
-
Abel Yalew
77'
Sao Tome & Principe vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result
Sao Tome & Principe
24.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
20.93%
▼
(-0.08)
Ethiopia
54.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.68%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.01%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
20.99%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
57.75%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
42.25%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
35.82%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
64.18%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
23.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
76.64%
▼
(-0.11)
First Half Winner
Sao Tome & Principe
27.76%
Draw
40.54%
Ethiopia
31.7%
Team To Score First
Sao Tome & Principe
45.3%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
5.6%
▼
(-0.05)
Ethiopia
49.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
12.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Equal 8
4.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
83.03%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 9
8.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Equal 9
3.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
87.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 10.5
6.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 10.5
93.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 1.5
28.01%
Under 1.5
71.99%
Over 2.5
11.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
88.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
3.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
96.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
79.66%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
20.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
52.55%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
47.45%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 2.5
28.69%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
71.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
13.44%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
86.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Sao Tome & Principe
24.83%
Draw
20.93%
Ethiopia
54.21%
Sao Tome & Principe
1-0
@
5.82%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.83%
2-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.83%
Draw
1-1
@
9.42%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
0-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
Ethiopia
0-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 54.21%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 54.21%