Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe has a probability of 24.86% and a draw has a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win is 1-0 (5.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.45%).