Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Chernet Gugsa
7'
Ethiopia vs Sao Tome & Principe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.11% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result
Ethiopia
61.62%
Draw
20.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Sao Tome & Principe
18.3%
Both Teams to Score:
51.88%
Goals
Over 1.5
78.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
21.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
56.59%
Under 2.5
43.41%
Over 3.5
34.31%
Under 3.5
65.69%
Over 4.5
22.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
77.27%
▲
(+0.01)
First Half Winner
Ethiopia
45.13%
Draw
36.02%
Sao Tome & Principe
18.86%
Team To Score First
Ethiopia
64.94%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
5.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Sao Tome & Principe
29.39%
Corners
Over 8
21.38%
Equal 8
8.37%
Under 8
70.25%
Over 9
15.19%
Equal 9
6.19%
Under 9
78.62%
Over 10.5
10.85%
Under 10.5
89.15%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 1.5
57.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
42.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
32.03%
Under 2.5
67.97%
Over 3.5
15.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
84.68%
▲
(+0.02)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5
51.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
48.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
21.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
78.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
7.14%
Under 2.5
92.86%
Over 3.5
2.15%
Under 3.5
97.85%
Score analysis
Ethiopia
61.63%
Draw
20.11%
Sao Tome & Principe
18.29%
Ethiopia
1-0
@
11%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 61.63%
2-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 61.63%
Draw
1-1
@
9.3%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.11%
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 20.11%
Sao Tome & Principe
0-1
@
4.93%
1-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.29%
1-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.29%