Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Malawi has a probability of 29.69% and a draw has a probability of 28.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Malawi win is 0-1 (9.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).