Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Gameweek
1
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-
Mo Eisa
86'
-
90'+2'
-
Mesfin Tafesse
55'
-
Gathouch Panom
81'
-
81'
-
83'
-
Bereket Samuel
85'
Sudan vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 0-1 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result
Sudan
38.15%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
27.25%
▼
(-0.15)
Ethiopia
34.6%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
50.15%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.29%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 1.5
29.71%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 2.5
45.05%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 2.5
54.95%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 3.5
24.3%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 3.5
75.7%
▼
(-0.55)
Over 4.5
12.91%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 4.5
87.09%
▼
(-0.41)
Sudan Goals
Over 1.5
35.37%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
64.63%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 2.5
13.94%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 2.5
86.06%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 3.5
4.52%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
95.48%
▼
(-0.18)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
66.69%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
33.31%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
32.33%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
67.67%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 2.5
11.74%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
88.26%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
3.44%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
96.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Sudan
38.16%
Draw
27.24%
Ethiopia
34.6%
Sudan
1-0
@
10.62%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 38.16%
2-1 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 38.16%
Draw
1-1
@
12.59%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.24%
0-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.24%
Ethiopia
0-1
@
10.28%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 34.6%
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 34.6%