Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Juba Stadium

Sudan vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Ethiopia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sudan win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Ethiopia has a probability of 34.55% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Ethiopia win is 0-1 (10.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result

Sudan 38.05%
Draw 27.4%
Ethiopia 34.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.89%
Under 1.5 30.11%
Over 2.5 44.45%
Under 2.5 55.55%
Over 3.5 23.75%
Under 3.5 76.25%
Over 4.5 12.5%
Under 4.5 87.5%

Sudan Goals

Over 1.5 34.99%
Under 1.5 65.01%
Over 2.5 13.62%
Under 2.5 86.38%
Over 3.5 4.35%
Under 3.5 95.65%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 66.53%
Under 0.5 33.47%
Over 1.5 32.01%
Under 1.5 67.99%
Over 2.5 11.5%
Under 2.5 88.5%
Over 3.5 3.33%
Under 3.5 96.67%

Score analysis

Sudan 38.06%
Draw 27.4%
Ethiopia 34.55%
Sudan
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.11%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 38.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.4%
Ethiopia
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.55%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Dec 30, 2021 2.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Omnisport de Limbe
  • 5' goal
  • 78' goal
  • goal Amanuel Gebremichael 10'
  • goal Amanuel Gebremichael 37'
  • goal Shimeles Bekele 58'