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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a win it was 2-1 (5.53%).
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Ajax |
| 20.81% | 21.14% | 58.06% |
| Both teams to score 59.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.7% | 38.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.42% | 60.58% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% | 31.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% | 68.28% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% | 12.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.5% | 39.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.54% Total : 20.81% | 1-1 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 8.62% 0-1 @ 8.44% 1-3 @ 6.71% 0-3 @ 5.86% 2-3 @ 3.84% 1-4 @ 3.42% 0-4 @ 2.99% 2-4 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.4% 0-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.74% Total : 58.06% |