Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental
  • Jorge Murrugarra 29' yellowcard
  • Edison Flores 64' yellowcard
  • Sekou Gassama 77' yellowcard
  • César Inga 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Torres 61'
  • yellowcard Jan Ángulo 77'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Flórez 77'
  • yellowcard Jherson Mosquera 87'

Universitario vs Deportes Tolima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Universitario

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Coquimbo 3 - 0 Tolima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.44% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%) , while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Universitario 58.21% (+0.10)
Draw 22.44% (-0.08)
Deportes Tolima 19.35% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.53% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.47% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 52.4% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 47.6% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 29.38% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 70.62% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17.99% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.01% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Universitario 43.47% (-0.03)
Draw 41.72% (+0.04)
Deportes Tolima 14.81% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Universitario 66.66% (+0.16)
No Goal 6.51% (-0.07)
Deportes Tolima 26.83% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.25% (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.38% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.36% (+0.22)
Over 9 43.88% (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.04)
Under 9 44.75% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 33.42% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 66.58% (+0.15)

Universitario Goals

Over 1.5 53.52% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 46.48% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 27.02% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 72.98% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 11.41% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.59% (-0.04)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 53.88% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 46.12% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.45% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.55% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 93.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.52%
Under 3.5 98.48%

Score analysis

Universitario 58.2%
Draw 22.43%
Deportes Tolima 19.36%
Universitario
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 10.6% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.22%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.4% (+0.05)
Total : 58.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 22.43%
Deportes Tolima
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Total : 19.36%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Jersson González 46' yellowcard
  • Yordan Osorio 67' yellowcard
  • Néifer Sánchez 78' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arrieta 87' yellowcard
  • Edwar López 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel 52'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 52'
  • yellowcard Bryan Reyna 71'
  • yellowcard Héctor Fértoli 77'
  • yellowcard Jesús Castillo 77'
  • yellowcard Horacio Calcaterra 77'