Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Monumental

Universitario vs Deportes Tolima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2026 11.00pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Universitario

Deportes Tolima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2026 11.00pm
Coquimbo 3 - 0 Tolima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Universitario win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.47% and a win for Deportes Tolima has a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.88%) , while for a Deportes Tolima win it is 0-1 (5.77%).

Result

Universitario 58.2% (-0.65)
Draw 22.47% (+0.30)
Deportes Tolima 19.36% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.12% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.45% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 23.55% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 52.26% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 47.7% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 29.27% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 70.73% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 17.93% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 82.07% (-0.17)

First Half Winner

Universitario 43.61% (+1.18)
Draw 41.64% (-0.25)
Deportes Tolima 14.76% (-0.92)

Team To Score First

Universitario 66.61% (+0.38)
No Goal 6.55% (+0.02)
Deportes Tolima 26.84% (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 55.45% (+1.45)
Equal 8 11.39% (-0.23)
Under 8 33.17% (-1.22)
Over 9 44.06% (+1.54)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.10)
Under 9 44.55% (-1.45)
Over 10.5 33.56% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 66.44% (-1.50)

Universitario Goals

Over 1.5 53.45% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 46.55% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 26.96% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 73.04% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 11.38% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 88.62% (+0.13)

Deportes Tolima Goals

Over 0.5 53.85% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 46.15% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 21.39% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 78.61% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 6.35% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 93.65% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 1.51% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 98.49% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Universitario 58.21%
Draw 22.48%
Deportes Tolima 19.34%
Universitario
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 10.61% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 10.22% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.39% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.37% (-0.13)
Total : 58.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.55% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.21% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.48%
Deportes Tolima
0-1 @ 5.77% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.7% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.5% (+0.13)
Total : 19.34%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
  • Jersson González 46' yellowcard
  • Yordan Osorio 67' yellowcard
  • Néifer Sánchez 78' yellowcard
  • Cristian Arrieta 87' yellowcard
  • Edwar López 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel 52'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 52'
  • yellowcard Bryan Reyna 71'
  • yellowcard Héctor Fértoli 77'
  • yellowcard Jesús Castillo 77'
  • yellowcard Horacio Calcaterra 77'