Friendlies 3

Jun 5, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade de la Source

Congo DR
1 - 0
Mali

Essende (27')
(27'), (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

(66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Congo DR and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Congo DR
Tuesday, March 25 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Mali

All competitions

Last Game: CAR 0-0 Mali
Monday, March 24 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 34.89%. A win for Congo DR has a probability of 34.11% and a draw has a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Congo DR win is 1-0 (13.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 0-0 (13.74%).

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Mali
34.11% ( -0.88)	30.99% ( 0.31)	34.89% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 39.59% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.91% (

-0.92)

68.09% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14% (

-0.61)

85.99% (

0.61)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64% (

-1.14)

37.35% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86% (

-1.14)

74.13% (

1.13)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

-0.11)

36.8% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

-0.11)

73.58% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 34.1%

Mali 34.89%

Draw 30.99%

Congo DR	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.78% Total : 34.1%	0-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.46) 1-1 @ 13.53% 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.99%	0-1 @ 13.74% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 34.89%