Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Fifth-Eighth Place Playoff clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic |
| 39.91% | 25.35% | 34.74% |
| Both teams to score 56.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% | 47.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.68% |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% | 57.61% |
| Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Shanghai Shenhua 39.91%
Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic 34.74%
Draw 25.35%
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Chongqing Liangjiang Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.74% |


