Club Friendlies 1
Aug 15, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Morgan Rogers 11' goal
  • João Pedro 47' goal
  • João Pedro 77' goal
  • goal Jon Aramburu 45'

Chelsea vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.00pm
Johor Darul 3 - 3 Chelsea

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 50.37% (+0.24)
Draw 24.13% (-0.02)
Real Sociedad 25.5% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.43% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.74% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 19.26% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 59.22% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 40.73% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.63% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 63.37% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.14% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 77.86% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 39.39% (+0.11)
Draw 40.99% (-0.11)
Real Sociedad 19.62%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 60.4% (+0.08)
No Goal 5.17% (-0.01)
Real Sociedad 34.43% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 60.28% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.33% (+0.05)
Over 9 48.44% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.72% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 37.17% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.83% (+0.04)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 52.44% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 47.56% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 26.35% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.65% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 10.65% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.35% (-0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 64.14% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 35.86% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 31.97% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 68.03% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 11.76% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 88.24% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.91% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 96.09% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Chelsea 50.37%
Draw 24.13%
Real Sociedad 25.49%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 10.09% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.37% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.66% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.51% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 10.35% (+0.03)
Total : 50.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 24.13%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.61% (-0.10)
Total : 25.49%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Diego Costa 2' goal
  • Diego Costa 7' goal