Championship Gameweek 8
Wrexham
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Racecourse Ground
Southampton
  • Kieffer Moore 35' goal
  • Dominic Hyam 86' yellowcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 89' goal
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 14'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 50'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 69'
  • yellowcard Ryan Manning  90'+2'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 90'+5'

Wrexham vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 8.00pm
West Ham 6 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 4 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Wrexham 28.86% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 25.55% ▼ (-0.15)
Southampton 45.59% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.12% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 24.88% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 51.52% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 48.48% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 29.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.15% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Wrexham 25.86% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 37.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Southampton 36.46% ▼ (-0.19)

Team To Score First

Wrexham 42.91% ▲ (+0.53)
No Goal 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Southampton 49.95% ▼ (-0.51)

Corners

Over 8 64.19% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 10.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 25% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 52.62% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 35.81% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 41.29% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 58.71% ▲ (+0.18)

Wrexham Goals

Over 1.5 30.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 11.1% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 75.79% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 24.21% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 44.5% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 55.5% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 20.08% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 79.92% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 7.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.02% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Wrexham 28.86%
Draw 25.55%
Southampton 45.6%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 28.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.55%
Southampton
0-1 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.13)
1-2 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 45.6%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 41
Wrexham
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT Racecourse Ground
Southampton
  • Josh Windass 34' goal
  • Matty James 72' yellowcard
  • Ollie Rathbone 72' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 73' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 84' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Kuryu Matsuki 12'
  • goal Flynn Downes 22'
  • yellowcard Leo Scienza 58'
  • goal Cyle Larin 61'
  • yellowcard Welington 65'
  • yellowcard Ross Stewart 66'
  • goal Ross Stewart 81'
  • goal Finn Azaz 83'
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 85'
  • yellowcard Cameron Archer 85'
Championship
Southampton
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Wrexham

Form Data

West Ham 6 - 0 Wrexham
Wrexham 1 - 1 Burnley
Swansea 0 - 0 Wrexham
Millwall 0 - 3 Wrexham
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Wrexham 1 - 1 Watford
Southampton 4 - 1 Bristol City
Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea
Lincoln 1 - 1 Southampton
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 5 - 1 Millwall
Southampton 1 - 4 West Ham