Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Cyle Larin 38' goal
  • Cyle Larin 61' goal
  • Kuryu Matsuki 82' goal
  • Finn Azaz  85' goal
  • yellowcard Lisav Naif Eissat  54'
  • yellowcard Sam Greenwood 61'
  • goal Lorent Tolaj 66'

Southampton vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.35% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.18%).

Result

Southampton 49.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Bristol City 23.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.44% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.49% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.51% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.51% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.49% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 73.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 14.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.01% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Southampton 36.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 43.88% ▲ (+0.11)
Bristol City 20% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Southampton 55.13% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Bristol City 36.43%

Corners

Over 8 70.23% ▼ (-0.66)
Equal 8 9.72% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 20.06% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 9 59.26% ▼ (-0.68)
Equal 9 10.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 29.77% ▲ (+0.67)
Over 10.5 47.93% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 10.5 52.07% ▲ (+0.64)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 45.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 54.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 20.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 59.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 25.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 49.11%
Draw 27.37%
Bristol City 23.54%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 49.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.37%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.54%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Cyle Larin 29' goal
  • Tom Fellows 57' yellowcard
  • Leo Scienza 57' yellowcard
  • Caspar Jander 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 74' goal
  • Cameron Bragg 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Manning 5' (OG)
  • goal Sam Bell 63'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 72'
  • yellowcard Rob Dickie 81'
Championship
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 52' goal
  • Zak Vyner 65' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 72' goal
  • Harry Cornick 82' goal
  • Joe Williams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+2'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 6' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 15' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 47' goal
  • Ryan Manning 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 85'
League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jos Hooiveld 12' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 15' goal
  • Jos Hooiveld 83' goal
Championship
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Fox 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 34'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Stephen Pearson 69'
  • goal Stephen Pearson 79'
  • yellowcard David James 90'
  • yellowcard Nicky Maynard 90'