Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 1 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 47.2%. A draw has a probability of 27.33% and a win for Bristol City has a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%) , while for a Bristol City win it is 0-1 (7.49%).

Result

Southampton 47.2% (-0.87)
Draw 27.33% (-0.09)
Bristol City 25.47% (+0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.79% (+1.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.94% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 27.06% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 48.6% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 51.4% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 27.73% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 72.27% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 15.68% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 84.32% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Southampton 35.53% (-0.65)
Draw 43.01% (+1.27)
Bristol City 21.46% (-0.63)

Team To Score First

Southampton 54.15% (+1.04)
No Goal 8.18% (-0.32)
Bristol City 37.67% (-0.73)

Corners

Over 8 73.81% (+3.61)
Equal 8 8.88% (-0.44)
Under 8 17.31% (-3.18)
Over 9 63.48% (+3.75)
Equal 9 10.33% (-0.15)
Under 9 26.19% (-3.61)
Over 10.5 52.48% (+3.57)
Under 10.5 47.52% (-3.57)

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 44.56% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 55.44% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 19.98% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 80.02% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 7.52% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.48% (+0.08)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 60.79% (+1.40)
Under 0.5 39.21% (-1.40)
Over 1.5 27.41% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 72.59% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 9.32% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 90.68% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 2.6% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.4% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Southampton 47.2%
Draw 27.33%
Bristol City 25.46%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 4.43% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.17)
Other @ 7.29% (-0.05)
Total : 47.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.03)
Total : 27.33%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.49% (+0.26)
1-2 @ 6.21% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 3.84% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.37% (+0.15)
Total : 25.46%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Cyle Larin 29' goal
  • Tom Fellows 57' yellowcard
  • Leo Scienza 57' yellowcard
  • Caspar Jander 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 71' yellowcard
  • Ross Stewart 74' goal
  • Cameron Bragg 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Manning 5' (OG)
  • goal Sam Bell 63'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 72'
  • yellowcard Rob Dickie 81'
Championship
Oct 21, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 52' goal
  • Zak Vyner 65' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 72' goal
  • Harry Cornick 82' goal
  • Joe Williams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Fraser 90'+2'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Kamal Deen Sulemana 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 6' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 15' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 47' goal
  • Ryan Manning 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 85'
League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jos Hooiveld 12' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 15' goal
  • Jos Hooiveld 83' goal
Championship
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Fox 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 34'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Stephen Pearson 69'
  • goal Stephen Pearson 79'
  • yellowcard David James 90'
  • yellowcard Nicky Maynard 90'