Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 1 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30pm
Norwich 3 - 4 Bolton
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Norwich City has a probability of 29.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norwich City win is 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Swansea City 45.74% ▼ (-0.67)
Draw 24.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Norwich City 29.49% ▲ (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.8% ▲ (+0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.82% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 22.18% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 54.43% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 45.57% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 32.09% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 3.5 67.91% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 4.5 18.37% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 4.5 81.63% ▼ (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 37.71% ▲ (+0.78)
Draw 40.07% ▼ (-0.51)
Norwich City 22.22% ▼ (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 55.75% ▼ (-0.41)
No Goal 5.79% ▼ (-0.17)
Norwich City 38.46% ▲ (+0.58)

Corners

Over 8 61.81% ▲ (+7.14)
Equal 8 11.86% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 8 26.33% ▼ (-7.43)
Over 9 49.24% ▲ (+6.07)
Equal 9 12.57% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 9 38.19% ▼ (-7.14)
Over 10.5 37.19% ▲ (+4.54)
Under 10.5 62.81% ▼ (-4.54)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 45.9% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 54.1% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 2.5 21.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 78.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 91.93% ▼ (-0.06)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 65.85% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 0.5 34.15% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 32.38% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 67.62% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 3.62% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.38% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Swansea City 45.75%
Draw 24.77%
Norwich City 29.47%
Swansea City
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.30)
1-0 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 45.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.77%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.14)
0-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 29.47%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Ali Ahmed 62' yellowcard
  • Jacob Wright 77' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 78' yellowcard
  • Kenny McLean 83' yellowcard
  • Amankwah Forson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zan Vipotnik 53'
  • yellowcard Adam Idah 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 60'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 68'
  • yellowcard Leo Walta 74'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 74'
Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Joshua Sargent 44' goal
  • Oscar Schwartau 53' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Marcondes 61' yellowcard
  • Joshua Sargent 63' goal
  • Lewis Dobbin 76' goal
  • Ante Crnac 84' goal
  • Emiliano Marcondes 87' goal
  • goal Liam Cullen 62'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Amankwah Forson 4' goal
  • Harry Darling 53' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 48'
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 67'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Carrow Road
  • Gabriel Sara 34' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 34' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 45'+3' goal
  • Angus Gunn 53' yellowcard
  • Sam McCallum 77' yellowcard
  • Kenny McLean 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Paterson 24'
  • goal Jamie Paterson 24'
  • yellowcard Jamie Paterson 45'
  • goal Matt Grimes 53'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 57'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamal Lowe 3' goal
  • Jamal Lowe 48' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 52' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 55' yellowcard
  • Oliver Cooper 76' yellowcard
  • Bashir Humphreys 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 18'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 22'
  • yellowcard Jon Rowe 61'