Championship Gameweek 6
Norwich
Sep 9, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Ben Chrisene 13' yellowcard
  • José Córdoba 25' yellowcard
  • Oscar Schwartau 28' goal
  • Papa Amadou Diallo 39' goal
  • Jack Stacey 59' yellowcard
  • Oscar Schwartau 60' yellowcard
  • Jovon Makama 83' yellowcard
  • Ante Crnac  90'+4' yellowcard
  • 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Vicente 60'
  • goal Carlos Vicente 64'
  • yellowcard Phil Neumann 83'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer  90'+4'

Norwich City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 3 Norwich
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 12.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 2 Wolves
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Phil Neumann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Norwich City 45.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Birmingham City 29.06% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.98% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 55.91% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 44.09% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 34.27% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 65.73% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 21.07% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 78.93% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 33.94% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 44.06% ▼ (-0.10)
Birmingham City 22%

Team To Score First

Norwich City 54.53% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Birmingham City 38.95% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 34.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 41.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 46.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 31.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 68.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 46.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 53.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 77.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.78%
Under 3.5 91.22%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 14.11% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.89% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 5.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.82% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Norwich City 45.05%
Draw 25.9%
Birmingham City 29.05%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.41%
Total : 45.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.9%
Birmingham City
1-2 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 29.05%

Head to Head

Championship
Norwich
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Paris Maghoma 46' yellowcard
  • Kenny McLean 67' goal
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Stacey 84' yellowcard
  • Tony Springett 90' yellowcard
  • Harry Darling 90' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Vicente 5'
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 14'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Osman 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Roberts 71'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 71'
  • yellowcard Tommy Doyle 78'
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 79'
Championship
Birmingham
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwich
Championship Gameweek 46
Birmingham
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Norwich
  • Paik Seung-ho 55' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan James 90'+6' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 9
Norwich
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Gabriel Sara 55' goal
  • Jon Rowe 60' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 83'
Championship Gameweek 29
Norwich
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
Birmingham
  • Marcelino Nunez 27' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 36' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 90'+4' goal
  • goal Maxime Colin 53'
Championship Gameweek 7
Birmingham
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Norwich
  • Scott Hogan 50' goal
  • goal Andrew Omobamidele 63'
  • goal Onel Hernandez 90'+3'

Form Data

Sheff Utd 1 - 3 Norwich
Stoke 1 - 0 Norwich
Norwich 4 - 1 Burnley
Cardiff 1 - 2 Norwich
Millwall 3 - 0 Norwich
Norwich 1 - 2 West Brom
Birmingham 2 - 2 Wolves
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton
Wrexham 1 - 2 Birmingham
Birmingham 1 - 6 Brentford
Birmingham 2 - 2 Bristol City
Sheff Utd 0 - 0 Birmingham