Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 8.00pm
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Wolves 4 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Eric-Junior Bocat

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Norwich 4 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Andre Brooks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 35.08% and a draw has a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result

Stoke City 35.08% (+0.93)
Draw 25.51% (-0.04)
Norwich City 39.38% (-0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.99% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.08% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 22.92% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 54.15% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 45.85% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 31.8% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 68.2% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 18.09% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 81.91% (-0.28)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 25.74% (+0.03)
Draw 44.84% (-0.03)
Norwich City 29.42%

Team To Score First

Stoke City 45.99% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.25% (-0.05)
Norwich City 47.76% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.51% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.85%
Under 8 30.64% (-0.15)
Over 9 45.44% (+0.12)
Equal 9 12.07% (+0.02)
Under 9 42.49% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 34.22% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 65.78% (-0.10)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 37.5% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 62.5% (-0.94)
Over 2.5 15.69% (+0.76)
Under 2.5 84.31% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 5.29% (+0.39)
Under 3.5 94.71% (-0.40)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 72.96% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 27.04% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 40.96% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 59.04% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 6.02% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 93.98% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Stoke City 35.07%
Draw 25.51%
Norwich City 39.38%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 5.13% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.61% (+0.12)
Other @ 5.09% (+0.38)
Total : 35.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.03)
Total : 25.51%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 6.06% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.82% (-0.21)
Total : 39.38%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Ben Chrisene 60' yellowcard
  • Oscar Schwartau 60' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Marcondes 68' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 89' yellowcard
  • Jack Stacey 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 46'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 61'
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 61'
  • goal Sam Gallagher 75'
  • goal Sorba Thomas 82'
  • yellowcard Steven​ N'Zonzi 89'
Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Lewis Dobbin 32' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 48' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 71' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 78' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 20'
  • goal Lewis Baker 45'+2'
  • goal Lewis Baker 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Million Manhoef 45'+6' goal
  • Million Manhoef 45'+6' goal
  • goal Ante Crnac 45'
  • goal Ante Crnac 45'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 45'+8'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Tyrese Campbell 55' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Sargent 24'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 28'
  • goal Ashley Barnes 60'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Dimitris Giannoulis 43' yellowcard
  • Jack Stacey 44' goal
  • Christian Fassnacht 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mehdi Leris 20'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 31'