Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ethan Galbraith 13' goal
  • Bosun Lawal 47' yellowcard
  • Ethan Galbraith 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard José Córdoba 61'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean  66'

Stoke City vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Wolves 4 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Ethan Galbraith

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Norwich 4 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Andre Brooks

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 35.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Norwich City 39.35% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 22.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 45.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 31.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.88% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 25.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 44.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Norwich City 29.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Stoke City 46% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Norwich City 47.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.85%
Under 8 30.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 45.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 34.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 65.78% ▼ (-0.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 37.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 62.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 15.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 84.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 72.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.96%
Under 1.5 59.04%
Over 2.5 17.3%
Under 2.5 82.7%
Over 3.5 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stoke City 35.11%
Draw 25.52%
Norwich City 39.34%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.52%
Norwich City
1-2 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.82%
Total : 39.34%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Ben Chrisene 60' yellowcard
  • Oscar Schwartau 60' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Marcondes 68' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 89' yellowcard
  • Jack Stacey 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 46'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 61'
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 61'
  • goal Sam Gallagher 75'
  • goal Sorba Thomas 82'
  • yellowcard Steven​ N'Zonzi 89'
Championship
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Lewis Dobbin 32' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 48' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 71' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 78' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 20'
  • goal Lewis Baker 45'+2'
  • goal Lewis Baker 90'+7'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Million Manhoef 45'+6' goal
  • Million Manhoef 45'+6' goal
  • goal Ante Crnac 45'
  • goal Ante Crnac 45'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 45'+8'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Tyrese Campbell 55' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Sargent 24'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 28'
  • goal Ashley Barnes 60'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Dimitris Giannoulis 43' yellowcard
  • Jack Stacey 44' goal
  • Christian Fassnacht 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mehdi Leris 20'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 31'