Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Preston 1 - 3 Wolves
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Fer López

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 3 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Eric-Junior Bocat

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw has a probability of 26.58% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.17%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (7.83%).

Result

Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.15% (-0.20)
Draw 26.58% (-0.28)
Stoke City 24.26% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.27% (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.12% (+1.42)
Under 1.5 28.88% (-1.41)
Over 2.5 46.07% (+1.69)
Under 2.5 53.93% (-1.69)
Over 3.5 24.76% (+1.25)
Under 3.5 75.24% (-1.25)
Over 4.5 13.43% (+0.80)
Under 4.5 86.57% (-0.81)

First Half Winner

Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.62% (+0.06)
Draw 45.04% (-0.18)
Stoke City 22.33% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Wolverhampton Wanderers 53.23% (+0.45)
No Goal 8.8% (-0.59)
Stoke City 37.97% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 54.48% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.92%
Under 8 33.61% (+0.02)
Over 9 42.65%
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.52% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 31.88%
Under 10.5 68.12%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 44.04% (+0.89)
Under 1.5 55.96% (-0.89)
Over 2.5 19.12% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 80.88% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 6.57% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 93.43% (-0.36)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 58.89% (+1.29)
Under 0.5 41.11% (-1.29)
Over 1.5 24.69% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 75.31% (-1.13)
Over 2.5 7.43% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 92.57% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 1.99% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 98.01% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.14%
Draw 26.59%
Stoke City 24.28%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.67)
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 4.64% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.15)
Other @ 6.52% (+0.33)
Total : 49.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 4.81% (+0.23)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.04)
Total : 26.59%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 5.97% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.25% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.94% (+0.12)
Total : 24.28%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 26, 2025 3.00pm
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 31, 2021 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Batth 27' goal
  • goal Raul Jimenez 30'
EFL Cup
Sep 17, 2020 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 54'
  • goal Jacob Brown 86'
  • yellowcard James McClean 88'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Jan 7, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 23' yellowcard
  • Bruno Martins Indi 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Helder Costa 7'
  • goal Helder Costa 29'
  • goal Matt Doherty 80'
Premier League
Apr 7, 2012 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matthew Etherington 36' yellowcard
  • Robert Huth 37' goal
  • Peter Crouch 61' goal
  • goal Michael Kightly 26'
  • yellowcard Michael Kightly 36'