Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Wrexham 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw has a probability of 26.98% and a win for Burnley has a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Burnley win it is 0-1 (8.17%).

Result

Swansea City 48.07% (-0.48)
Draw 26.98% (+0.09)
Burnley 24.95% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.99% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.41% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 30.59% (+1.15)
Over 2.5 44.13% (-1.70)
Under 2.5 55.87% (+1.73)
Over 3.5 23.16% (-0.99)
Under 3.5 76.84% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 12.51% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 87.49% (+0.86)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 37.36% (+1.65)
Draw 41.52% (-0.88)
Burnley 21.12% (-0.75)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 54.93% (+0.41)
No Goal 9.55% (+0.25)
Burnley 35.52% (-0.65)

Corners

Over 8 61% (-1.97)
Equal 8 11.67% (-0.03)
Under 8 27.33% (+2.00)
Over 9 48.78% (-1.68)
Equal 9 12.23% (-0.29)
Under 9 39% (+1.97)
Over 10.5 37.11% (-1.22)
Under 10.5 62.89% (+1.22)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 42.03% (-1.37)
Under 1.5 57.97% (+1.37)
Over 2.5 17.72% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 82.28% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 6.25% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 93.75% (+0.83)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 57.69% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 42.31% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 24.19% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 75.81% (+0.38)
Over 2.5 7.66% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 92.34% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Swansea City 48.06%
Draw 26.97%
Burnley 24.95%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.85% (+0.50)
2-0 @ 9.28% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.08)
Other @ 6.15% (-0.71)
Total : 48.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 9.55% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.12)
Total : 26.97%
Burnley
0-1 @ 8.17% (+0.41)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.89% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.15)
Other @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Total : 24.95%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jay Fulton 74' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Brownhill 4'
  • goal Jaidon Anthony 22'
Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Cullen 32' yellowcard
  • Josh Cullen 32' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ronald Pereira Martins 61'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 86'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Oliver Cooper 27' goal
  • goal Ian Maatsen 13'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 22'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Vitinho 15' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 29' goal
  • Anass Zaroury 45'+3' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 57' goal
Premier League
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Martin Olsson 28' yellowcard
  • Ki Sung-yeung 81' goal
  • Andre Ayew 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 57'
Premier League
Nov 18, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stephen Ward 17' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 29' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 39' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Dyer 97'