Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Adam Idah 14' goal
  • Moussa Yeo 33' goal
  • Moussa Yeo 59' yellowcard
  • Zan Vipotnik 68' goal
  • Filip Lissah 72' yellowcard
  • goal Largie Ramazani 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Pires 59'

Swansea City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Wrexham 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.03% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Swansea City 48.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Burnley 24.94% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 30.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 55.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 23.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.46% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 37.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 41.65% ▲ (+0.13)
Burnley 20.98% ▼ (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 54.97% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Burnley 35.47% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 61.07% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 27.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 48.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 38.93% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 37.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.86% ▼ (-0.04)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 42.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 42.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Swansea City 48.02%
Draw 27.03%
Burnley 24.94%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.03%
Burnley
0-1 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 24.94%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jay Fulton 74' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Brownhill 4'
  • goal Jaidon Anthony 22'
Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Josh Cullen 32' yellowcard
  • Josh Cullen 32' yellowcard
  • Jay Rodriguez 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ronald Pereira Martins 61'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 86'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Oliver Cooper 27' goal
  • goal Ian Maatsen 13'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 22'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Vitinho 15' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 29' goal
  • Anass Zaroury 45'+3' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 57' goal
Premier League
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Martin Olsson 28' yellowcard
  • Ki Sung-yeung 81' goal
  • Andre Ayew 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 57'
Premier League
Nov 18, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Stephen Ward 17' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 29' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 39' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Dyer 97'