Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 20, 2026 1.30pm
Carrow Road

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 4 - 3 Norwich
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
Bolton 1 - 0 Cardiff
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Bolton Wanderers has a probability of 26.01% and a draw has a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win is 1-2 (6.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.14%).

Result

Norwich City 50.25% (-0.91)
Draw 23.74% (+0.22)
Bolton Wanderers 26.01% (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.45% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.11% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 20.89% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 56.7% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 43.3% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 33.52% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 66.48% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 19.83% (-0.59)
Under 4.5 80.17% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 39.72% (+0.75)
Draw 39.25% (-0.05)
Bolton Wanderers 21.03% (-0.71)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 56.65% (-1.39)
No Goal 5.38% (+0.01)
Bolton Wanderers 37.97% (+1.37)

Corners

Over 8 62.9% (-3.00)
Equal 8 10.99% (+0.27)
Under 8 26.11% (+2.72)
Over 9 51.22% (-3.00)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 37.1% (+3.00)
Over 10.5 39.87% (-2.74)
Under 10.5 60.13% (+2.74)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 50.47% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 49.53% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 24.37% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 75.63% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 9.62% (-0.56)
Under 3.5 90.38% (+0.55)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 63.66% (+0.81)
Under 0.5 36.34% (-0.81)
Over 1.5 30.53% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 69.47% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 11.07% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 88.93% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.29% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 96.71% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Norwich City 50.25%
Draw 23.74%
Bolton Wanderers 26.01%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 10.37% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.09)
Other @ 9.43% (-0.59)
Total : 50.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.73% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.03)
Total : 23.74%
Bolton Wanderers
1-2 @ 6.64% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 3.56% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.56% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.1% (+0.06)
Total : 26.01%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 16, 2019 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • Craig Noone 29' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 8'
  • goal Marco Stiepermann 25'
  • goal Emiliano Buendia 34'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 56'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 8, 2018 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road (Norwich, Norfolk)
  • Mario Vrancic 39' goal
  • Marco Stiepermann 59' goal
  • Mario Vrancic 86' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 90' goal
  • yellowcard Sammy Ameobi 14'
  • goal Sammy Ameobi 63'
  • yellowcard Gary O'Neil 84'
  • goal Mark Beevers 88'
  • redcard Sammy Ameobi 90'
Championship
Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christoph Zimmermann 55' yellowcard
  • Jamal Lewis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 37'
  • yellowcard Filipe Morais 72'
  • yellowcard Reece Burke 76'
  • yellowcard Sammy Ameobi 84'
  • yellowcard Jon Flanagan 90'
Championship
Nov 4, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Karl Henry 28' yellowcard
  • Gary Madine 35' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 40' goal
  • Darren Pratley 58' yellowcard
  • David Wheater 78' yellowcard
  • Mark Beevers 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Zimmermann 77'
  • yellowcard Mario Vrancic 79'
  • goal Josh Murphy 94'
Championship
Apr 11, 2015 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Adam le Fondre 18' goal
  • Tom Walker 26' yellowcard
  • Dean Moxey 90' yellowcard
  • goal Graham Dorrans 9'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bennett 80'
  • goal Gary Hooper 93'
Championship
Oct 31, 2014 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cameron Jerome 12' goal
  • Gary O'Neil 38' yellowcard
  • Cameron Jerome 61' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Davies 68'
  • yellowcard Tim Ream 82'
  • goal Lee Chung-Yong 86'