Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Bolton 2 - 3 West Ham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Cian Ashford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 31.11% and a draw has a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 45.22% (+1.32)
Draw 23.64% (-0.63)
Cardiff City 31.11% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.2% (+0.96)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.22% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 19.78% (-0.87)
Over 2.5 59.07% (+1.10)
Under 2.5 40.93% (-1.10)
Over 3.5 36.1% (+1.35)
Under 3.5 63.9% (-1.34)
Over 4.5 21.69% (+1.02)
Under 4.5 78.31% (-1.01)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 37.44% (+0.58)
Draw 37.76% (-1.93)
Cardiff City 24.8% (+1.36)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 55.14% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.17% (-0.49)
Cardiff City 39.69% (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 61.04% (+2.62)
Equal 8 10.8% (+0.40)
Under 8 28.16% (-3.02)
Over 9 49.78% (+2.04)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.59)
Under 9 38.96% (-2.62)
Over 10.5 38.98% (+1.38)
Under 10.5 61.02% (-1.38)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 47.79% (+1.72)
Under 1.5 52.21% (-1.72)
Over 2.5 22.9% (+1.29)
Under 2.5 77.1% (-1.30)
Over 3.5 8.77% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 91.23% (-0.80)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 68.07% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 31.93% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 36.09% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 63.91% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 14.77% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.23% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.32% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 94.68% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 45.22%
Draw 23.64%
Cardiff City 31.12%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.46% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.19)
Other @ 8.48% (+0.77)
Total : 45.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.49)
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.04)
Total : 23.64%
Cardiff City
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.27% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.23)
Other @ 5.03% (-0.23)
Total : 31.12%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Omari Kellyman 50' goal
  • Chris Willock 52' goal
  • Calum Scanlon 77' yellowcard
  • David Turnbull 77' yellowcard
  • Joel Colwill 78' yellowcard
  • Yousef Salech 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amario Cozier-Duberry 60'
  • yellowcard Rúben Rodrigues 60'
  • yellowcard Rob Apter 60'
  • yellowcard Toby Ritchie 83'
League One
Oct 25, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Armand Traore 34' goal
  • Sean Morrison 44' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 43'
Championship
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Pratley 41' yellowcard
  • Karl Henry 61' yellowcard
  • Gary Madine 75' goal
  • Gary Madine 87' yellowcard
  • Joshua Vela 88' goal
  • yellowcard Loic Damour 56'
  • yellowcard Lee Peltier 77'
  • yellowcard Bruno Ecuele Manga 78'
  • yellowcard Greg Halford 82'
Championship
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean Morrison 30' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Zohore 55' goal
  • Peter Whittingham 94' goal
  • goal Zach Clough 7'
  • redcard Niall Maher 32'
Championship
Dec 5, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Madine 18' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 41' yellowcard
  • Darren Pratley 69' yellowcard
  • Dorian Dervite 72' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 90' redcard
  • goal Tony Watt 13'
  • goal Scott Malone 53'
  • goal Anthony Pilkington 80'
  • yellowcard Fabio 88'
  • yellowcard Matthew Connolly 89'