Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Ben Davies 31' yellowcard
  • Kyliane Dong 32' yellowcard
  • Samuel Iling-Junior 37' yellowcard
  • Jayden Nelson 78' yellowcard
  • Thierry Gale 90' goal
  • Thierry Gale 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Colwill 42'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 54'

Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Bolton 2 - 3 West Ham
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Cian Ashford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 42.08%
Draw 24.13%
Cardiff City 33.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 58.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.8% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.2% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 35.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 37.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Cardiff City 26.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 52.72% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Cardiff City 41.93% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 61.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 27.8% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 49.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 38.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 39.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 60.94% ▲ (+0.05)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 45.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 69.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.23%
Under 3.5 93.77%

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 42.08%
Draw 24.14%
Cardiff City 33.76%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 42.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.14%
Cardiff City
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 5.93%
Total : 33.76%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Omari Kellyman 50' goal
  • Chris Willock 52' goal
  • Calum Scanlon 77' yellowcard
  • David Turnbull 77' yellowcard
  • Joel Colwill 78' yellowcard
  • Yousef Salech 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amario Cozier-Duberry 60'
  • yellowcard Rúben Rodrigues 60'
  • yellowcard Rob Apter 60'
  • yellowcard Toby Ritchie 83'
League One
Oct 25, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Armand Traore 34' goal
  • Sean Morrison 44' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 43'
Championship
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darren Pratley 41' yellowcard
  • Karl Henry 61' yellowcard
  • Gary Madine 75' goal
  • Gary Madine 87' yellowcard
  • Joshua Vela 88' goal
  • yellowcard Loic Damour 56'
  • yellowcard Lee Peltier 77'
  • yellowcard Bruno Ecuele Manga 78'
  • yellowcard Greg Halford 82'
Championship
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean Morrison 30' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Zohore 55' goal
  • Peter Whittingham 94' goal
  • goal Zach Clough 7'
  • redcard Niall Maher 32'
Championship
Dec 5, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Madine 18' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 41' yellowcard
  • Darren Pratley 69' yellowcard
  • Dorian Dervite 72' goal
  • Jose Manuel Casado 90' redcard
  • goal Tony Watt 13'
  • goal Scott Malone 53'
  • goal Anthony Pilkington 80'
  • yellowcard Fabio 88'
  • yellowcard Matthew Connolly 89'