Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
The Den

Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Millwall 0 - 3 Wrexham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Sheff Utd 3 - 2 Bolton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Bolton Wanderers has a probability of 30.7% and a draw has a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win is 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result

Millwall 43.4% (-0.11)
Draw 25.94%
Bolton Wanderers 30.7% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.08% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.77% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.23% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.81%
Under 2.5 52.19%
Over 3.5 25.98%
Under 3.5 74.02%
Over 4.5 14.19% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.81% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Millwall 33.24%
Draw 45.2%
Bolton Wanderers 21.56%

Team To Score First

Millwall 51.82%
No Goal 7.76%
Bolton Wanderers 40.42%

Corners

Over 8 63.04%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 26.22%
Over 9 51.64%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 36.96%
Over 10.5 40.53%
Under 10.5 59.47%

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 40.21% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.79% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.58% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.42% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.43% (+0.03)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 64.93% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 35.07% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.47% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.53% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.64% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 89.36% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Millwall 43.4%
Draw 25.95%
Bolton Wanderers 30.7%
Millwall
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68%
Other @ 5.56% (-0.03)
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.95%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 8.64% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.22% (+0.03)
Total : 30.7%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • PaweÅ‚ Olkowski 48' goal
  • Gary O'Neil 60' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Williams 6'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 84'
  • goal Lee Gregory 87'
  • yellowcard Shane Ferguson 92'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 24, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Den (London)
  • Shaun Hutchinson 45' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 82' goal
  • yellowcard Marc Wilson 7'
  • goal Mark Beevers 12'
  • yellowcard Jason Lowe 21'
Championship
Apr 10, 2018 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Tom Elliott 34'
  • goal Ben Marshall 63'
Championship
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Saville 49' goal
  • Shaun Hutchinson 68' yellowcard
  • Conor McLaughlin 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reece Burke 4'
  • goal Filipe Morais 62'
  • yellowcard Andrew Taylor 88'
  • yellowcard Jem Karacan 93'
League One
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Liam Trotter 7' yellowcard
  • Josh Vela 17' goal
  • Tom Thorpe 57' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Williams 34'
League One
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Sammy Ameobi 3'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 18'
  • goal David Wheater 86'