/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
-
Perry Ng
45'+2'
-
Joel Colwill
63'
-
Ben Johnson
22'
-
Ben Wilmot
27'
-
Luke Graham
81'
Cardiff City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fimago1082121485-6a9573b831300002641131.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.23% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%) , while for a Stoke City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Cardiff City
56.43%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
23.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Stoke City
20.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
54.17%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
79.07%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
20.93%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
57.04%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
42.96%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
34.32%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
65.68%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
20.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
79.13%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Cardiff City
42.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
37.12%
▼
(-0.06)
Stoke City
20.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Cardiff City
61.76%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
5.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Stoke City
32.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
70.66%
▼
(-0.05)
Equal 8
9.86%
Under 8
19.48%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
59.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.21%
Under 9
29.34%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 10.5
47.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 10.5
52.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 1.5
55.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
44.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
28.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
71.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
12.38%
Under 3.5
87.62%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
57.31%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
42.69%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
25.42%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
74.58%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 2.5
8.69%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
91.31%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
2.39%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
97.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Cardiff City
56.43%
Draw
23.24%
Stoke City
20.35%
Cardiff City
2-1
@
10.11%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.04%
Total : 56.43%
1-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.04%
Total : 56.43%
Draw
1-1
@
10.39%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.24%
0-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.24%
Stoke City
1-2
@
5.51%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.35%
0-1 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.35%