Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Portsmouth 2 - 0 Cardiff
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Cian Ashford

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 12.30pm
Stoke 4 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Ethan Galbraith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw has a probability of 23.22% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.38%) , while for a Stoke City win it is 1-2 (5.52%).

Result

Cardiff City 56.39% (+0.50)
Draw 23.22% (-0.21)
Stoke City 20.39% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.12% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 20.88% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 57.13% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 42.87% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 34.41% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 65.59% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 20.91% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 79.09% (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 42.33%
Draw 37.17%
Stoke City 20.5%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 61.8% (+0.06)
No Goal 5.8% (-0.09)
Stoke City 32.4% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 70.7%
Equal 8 9.86%
Under 8 19.44%
Over 9 59.49%
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 29.3%
Over 10.5 47.89%
Under 10.5 52.11%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 55.44% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 44.56% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 29.01% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 70.99% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 12.38% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 87.62% (-0.27)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 57.41% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 42.59% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 25.5% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 74.5% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.73% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.27% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.4% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.6% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 56.39%
Draw 23.21%
Stoke City 20.4%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 10.12% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.05% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.18% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.85% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.04% (+0.27)
Total : 56.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.21%
Stoke City
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.06% (-0.03)
Total : 20.4%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Alex Robertson 70' yellowcard
  • Alex Robertson 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Ashley Phillips 60'
  • yellowcard Ashley Phillips 60'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 72'
  • yellowcard Sam Gallagher 72'
  • goal Will Fish 85' (OG)
  • goal Will Fish 85' (OG)
FA Cup
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
ET Britannia Stadium
  • Lewis Koumas 42' goal
  • Lewis Koumas 46' goal
  • Lewis Baker 58' goal
  • Ben Gibson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rubin Colwill 8'
  • goal Yousef Salech 20'
  • goal Rubin Colwill 68'
  • yellowcard Rubin Colwill 88'
  • yellowcard Callum O'Dowda 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Will Fish 98'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Andy Moran 17' goal
  • Andy Moran 17' goal
  • Andy Moran 24' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 65' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 66' yellowcard
  • Ashley Famiwuya 67' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 32'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 43'
  • goal B 73' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Kion Etete 5' goal
  • Karlan Grant 32' goal
  • Perry Ng 40' yellowcard
  • Emmanouil Siopis 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Ralls 76' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Goutas 83' yellowcard
  • goal Joon-Ho Bae 41'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 73'
Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Luke McNally 42' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Sory Kaba 29' goal
  • goal Josh Laurent 16'