Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
LNER Stadium

Lincoln City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol City 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 28.22% and a draw has a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Lincoln City 46.29% (+2.75)
Draw 25.49% (-0.23)
Swansea City 28.22% (-2.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 23.73% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 52.43% (-1.61)
Under 2.5 47.57% (+1.61)
Over 3.5 29.63% (-2.11)
Under 3.5 70.37% (+2.11)
Over 4.5 16.81% (-1.55)
Under 4.5 83.19% (+1.54)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 31.6% (+2.47)
Draw 44.6% (-0.79)
Swansea City 23.79% (-1.70)

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 49.67% (-0.58)
No Goal 6.46% (-0.09)
Swansea City 43.87% (+0.66)

Corners

Over 8 56.17% (+4.58)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.63)
Under 8 32.35% (-3.95)
Over 9 44.62% (+4.78)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.22)
Under 9 43.83% (-4.58)
Over 10.5 33.95% (+4.58)
Under 10.5 66.05% (-4.58)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 45.28% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 54.72% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 20.67% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 79.33% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 7.48% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 92.52% (+0.21)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 64.7% (-1.87)
Under 0.5 35.3% (+1.87)
Over 1.5 30.72% (-3.29)
Under 1.5 69.28% (+3.29)
Over 2.5 11% (-2.07)
Under 2.5 89% (+2.07)
Over 3.5 3.08% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 96.92% (+0.97)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 46.29%
Draw 25.49%
Swansea City 28.21%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 9.97% (+0.80)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.57)
2-0 @ 7.34% (+0.67)
3-1 @ 4.77% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 4.17% (+0.52)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.35% (-0.07)
Total : 46.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.65)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.50)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.15)
Total : 25.49%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.41)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.35)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.38)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.23)
Other @ 2.95% (-0.82)
Total : 28.21%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 9, 2005 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Yeo 23' yellowcard
  • Paul Morgan 44' yellowcard
  • Garry Monk 90' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Forbes 73'
League Two
Aug 30, 2004 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ezy Iriekpen 3' goal
  • Roberto Martinez 55' yellowcard
  • Ezy Iriekpen 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gareth McAuley 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Peat 63'
  • yellowcard Ben Futcher 72'
  • yellowcard Peter Gain 76'