Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Ben House 6' yellowcard
  • Ryley Towler 25' yellowcard
  • Reeco Hackett 39' goal
  • Chris Cohen 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Lissah 38'
  • goal Moussa Yeo 47'
  • goal Stephen Eustaquio 51'
  • yellowcard Filip Lissah 90'

Lincoln City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol City 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Swansea 3 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Lincoln City 46.56% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 25.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Swansea City 27.96% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.94% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.11% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 23.89% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 52.2% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 47.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 29.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 70.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 16.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.25% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 31.34% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 44.77% ▲ (+0.18)
Swansea City 23.89% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 49.82% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 6.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Swansea City 43.67% ▼ (-0.20)

Corners

Over 8 56.52% ▲ (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.48%
Under 8 32.01% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 9 44.94% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 43.48% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 10.5 34.21% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 10.5 65.79% ▼ (-0.26)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 45.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 54.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 20.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 7.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 64.41% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 0.5 35.59% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 1.5 30.4% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.97% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 46.55%
Draw 25.49%
Swansea City 27.97%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.08% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.97%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 9, 2005 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Yeo 23' yellowcard
  • Paul Morgan 44' yellowcard
  • Garry Monk 90' goal
  • yellowcard Adrian Forbes 73'
League Two
Aug 30, 2004 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ezy Iriekpen 3' goal
  • Roberto Martinez 55' yellowcard
  • Ezy Iriekpen 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gareth McAuley 56'
  • yellowcard Nathan Peat 63'
  • yellowcard Ben Futcher 72'
  • yellowcard Peter Gain 76'