Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Lisav Naif Eissat  28' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben House 14'
  • yellowcard Deji Elerewe 37'
  • yellowcard Freddie Draper 45'
  • goal Freddie Draper 53'
  • yellowcard Ryley Towler 68'
  • yellowcard George Wickens 69'

Bristol City vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 4 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Dom Ballard

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Preston 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Bristol City 39.81% ▲ (+3.32)
Draw 25.82% ▼ (-0.97)
Lincoln City 34.33% ▼ (-2.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.19% ▼ (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 54.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 45.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 81.8% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 33.11% ▲ (+4.79)
Draw 40.76% ▼ (-2.81)
Lincoln City 26.13% ▼ (-1.99)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 50.84% ▲ (+3.47)
No Goal 6.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Lincoln City 42.67% ▼ (-3.27)

Corners

Over 8 65.58% ▲ (+5.76)
Equal 8 10.75% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 8 23.67% ▼ (-5.14)
Over 9 53.89% ▲ (+5.83)
Equal 9 11.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 34.42% ▼ (-5.76)
Over 10.5 42.3% ▲ (+5.38)
Under 10.5 57.7% ▼ (-5.38)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 41.47% ▲ (+2.29)
Under 1.5 58.53% ▼ (-2.29)
Over 2.5 17.78% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 2.5 82.22% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 3.5 6.08% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 3.5 93.92% ▼ (-0.61)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% ▼ (-2.27)
Under 0.5 30.29% ▲ (+2.26)
Over 1.5 37.19% ▼ (-2.38)
Under 1.5 62.81% ▲ (+2.38)
Over 2.5 15.29% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 2.5 84.71% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 3.5 5.29% ▼ (-0.71)
Under 3.5 94.71% ▲ (+0.71)

Score analysis

Bristol City 39.81%
Draw 25.83%
Lincoln City 34.31%
Bristol City
2-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.42)
1-0 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.61)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.77)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.34)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.32)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.74)
Total : 39.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 25.83%
Lincoln City
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.38)
0-1 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.37)
0-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.51)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 34.31%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Tommy Conway 80' goal
  • goal Matty Virtue 6'
  • goal Ben House 15'
  • goal Paudie O'Connor 49'