Championship Gameweek 10
Norwich
Oct 14, 2026 7.45pm
Carrow Road
Southampton

Norwich City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea 2 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.00pm
Southampton 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 35.85% and a draw has a probability of 23.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.45%).

Result

Norwich City 40.32% ▼ (-0.36)
Draw 23.83% ▲ (+0.07)
Southampton 35.85% ▲ (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.91% ▼ (-0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.54% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 17.46% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 61.85% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 38.15% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 3.5 38.17% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 3.5 61.83% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 4.5 23.06% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 76.94% ▲ (+0.55)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 35.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 38.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Southampton 25.95% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 51.31% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 4.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Southampton 44.34% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 66.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 22.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 54.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 33.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 42.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 57.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 45.73% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 54.27% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 20.82% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 79.18% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 7.7% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 92.3% ▲ (+0.35)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 27.55% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 42.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 81.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 6.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.06% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Norwich City 40.32%
Draw 23.83%
Southampton 35.84%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.31)
Total : 40.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.83%
Southampton
1-2 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 35.84%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
Southampton
Mar 18, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Norwich
  • Finn Azaz 24' goal
  • Cameron Bragg 65' yellowcard
  • Shea Emmanuel Charles 74' yellowcard
  • Tom Fellows 74' yellowcard
  • Nathan Wood 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard P. Mattsson 45'
  • yellowcard P. Mattsson 46'
  • yellowcard Errol Mundle-Smith 60'
  • yellowcard Liam Gibbs 73'
  • yellowcard Jacob Wright 87'
  • yellowcard Amankwah Forson 87'
Championship
Norwich
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Ruairi McConville 25' yellowcard
  • Jovon Makama 48' goal
  • Jovon Makama 61' goal
  • Kellen Fisher 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Manning 57'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 90'+8'
EFL Cup
Norwich
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
Championship Gameweek 26
Norwich
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
Southampton
  • Jack Stacey 23' yellowcard
  • Sam McCallum 27' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Sara 54' yellowcard
  • Joshua Sargent 78' goal
  • Onel Hernandez 87' yellowcard
  • Kenny McLean 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Armstrong 70'
Championship Gameweek 2
Southampton
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
4
4
HT : 4 7
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Norwich
  • Jan Bednarek 17' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 17' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 21' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 21' goal
  • William Smallbone 40' yellowcard
  • William Smallbone 40' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nathan Tella 50' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 57' goal
  • Jack Stephens 60' yellowcard
  • Che Adams 76' yellowcard
  • Shea Charles 76' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 77' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 1'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 1'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 1'
  • goal Joshua Sargent 7'
  • goal Joshua Sargent 7'
  • goal Joshua Sargent 7'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 23'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 23'
  • goal Jon Rowe 45'+2'
  • goal Jon Rowe 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Tony Springett 77'
  • goal Christian Fassnacht 84'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Southampton
Feb 25, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Norwich
  • Che Adams 36' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 39' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 88' goal
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 59'
  • yellowcard Brandon Williams 90'

Form Data

Swansea 2 - 1 Norwich
Norwich 3 - 4 Bolton
Man City 5 - 0 Norwich
Middlesbrough 4 - 3 Norwich
Norwich 2 - 1 Birmingham
Sheff Utd 1 - 3 Norwich
Southampton 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Wrexham 2 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 4 - 1 Bristol City
Southampton 3 - 1 Swansea
Lincoln 1 - 1 Southampton
Birmingham 1 - 1 Southampton