Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 11, 2026 12.00pm
St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Wrexham 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Blackburn
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Marko Milovanović

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw has a probability of 23.35% and a win for Portsmouth has a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.25%) , while for a Portsmouth win it is 0-1 (5.19%).

Result

Southampton 59.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 23.35%
Portsmouth 17.22% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.62% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.67%
Under 2.5 49.33%
Over 3.5 29.11%
Under 3.5 70.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.23% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Southampton 40.56%
Draw 40.83%
Portsmouth 18.61%

Team To Score First

Southampton 60.44%
No Goal 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Portsmouth 31.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 71.29%
Equal 8 9.49%
Under 8 19.22%
Over 9 60.47%
Equal 9 10.81%
Under 9 28.71%
Over 10.5 49.21%
Under 10.5 50.79%

Southampton Goals

Over 1.5 53.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 46.66% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 26.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 73.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.05% ▼ (-0.04)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 50.72% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 49.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 20.2%
Under 1.5 79.8%
Over 2.5 6.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.32% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Southampton 59.47%
Draw 23.36%
Portsmouth 17.22%
Southampton
1-0 @ 12.97% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 11.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 59.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.36%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 17.22%

Head to Head

Championship
Jan 25, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Jordan Williams 66' yellowcard
  • Marlon Pack 71' yellowcard
  • Keshi Anderson 71' yellowcard
  • Ebou Adams 77' goal
  • goal Leo Scienza 57'
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 63'
  • yellowcard Shea Emmanuel Charles 63'
  • yellowcard Jay Robinson 67'
  • yellowcard Ross Stewart 68'
Championship
Sep 14, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 24, 2019 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Oliver Hawkins 53' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 55' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Ings 21'
  • goal Danny Ings 44'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bertrand 66'
  • goal Cedric Soares 77'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 87'
Championship
Apr 7, 2012 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 2' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 27' goal
  • Billy Sharp 28' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 89' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Maguire 7'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Rocha 27'
  • yellowcard Scott Allan 34'
  • goal Chris Maguire 36'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 68'
  • goal David Norris 90'
  • yellowcard Jamie Ashdown 90'
  • yellowcard Luke Varney 90'
Championship
Dec 18, 2011 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Mattock 60' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Cork 31'
  • goal Rickie Lambert 63'
Premier League
Apr 24, 2005 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Aiyegbeni Yakubu 4' goal
  • Arjan de Zeeuw 17' goal
  • Lomano Tresor Lua Lua 22' goal
  • Lomano Tresor Lua Lua 27' goal
  • Richard Hughes 32' yellowcard
  • Andy Griffin 85' yellowcard
  • goal Henri Camara 20'
  • yellowcard Claus Lundekvam 40'
  • yellowcard Jamie Redknapp 63'