Championship Gameweek 4
Portsmouth
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Fratton Park
Derby
  • Terry Devlin 69' yellowcard
  • goal Sammie Szmodics 16'
  • yellowcard Sondre Langås 51'
  • goal Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 62'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 83'

Portsmouth vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Terry Devlin

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 0 - 3 Swansea
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Portsmouth 38.58% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 26.97% ▼ (-0.04)
Derby County 34.45% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 26.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 28.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.82% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Portsmouth 28% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 44.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Derby County 27.34% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Portsmouth 45.59% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 7.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Derby County 47.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.99%
Under 8 29.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 48.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 40.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 37.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 62.45% ▼ (-0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 1.5 38.37% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 61.63% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 15.46% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 84.54% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 5.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 68.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 31.17% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 34.96% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 65.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 13.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.71% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 38.59%
Draw 26.97%
Derby County 34.46%
Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 38.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.56% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.97%
Derby County
0-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Portsmouth
Mar 16, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fratton Park
Derby
  • John Swift 63' yellowcard
  • Conor Shaughnessy 63' yellowcard
  • Colby Bishop 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Segecic 77' yellowcard
  • Makenzie Kirk 83' yellowcard
  • goal Sammie Szmodics 8'
  • yellowcard Oscar Fraulo 61'
  • yellowcard David Ozoh 72'
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 72'
  • yellowcard Jaydon Banel 83'
  • yellowcard Craig Forsyth 83'
Championship
Derby
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Portsmouth
  • Rhian Brewster 44' yellowcard
  • Hayden Matthews 45' goal
  • goal Callum Lang 6'
  • yellowcard Andre Dozzell 42'
Championship Gameweek 42
Portsmouth
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Fratton Park
Derby
  • Zak Swanson 27' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 33' yellowcard
  • Christian Saydee 68' yellowcard
  • Colby Bishop 69' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 71' goal
  • Rob Atkinson 80' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Widell Zetterstrom 6'
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 21'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 34'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 57'
  • goal Jerry Yates 70'
  • goal Rob Atkinson 75' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 21
Derby
Dec 13, 2024 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Portsmouth
  • Kane Wilson 8' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 23' goal
  • Ebou Adams 29' goal
  • Marlon Pack 65' goal
  • yellowcard Tom McIntyre 84'
League One Gameweek 42
Portsmouth
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Fratton Park
Derby
  • Patrick Lane 20' yellowcard
  • Abu Kamara 27' goal
  • Connor Ogilvie 72' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 77' goal
  • goal Joe Ward 23'
  • goal Joe Ward 35'
  • yellowcard James Collins 43'
League One Gameweek 8
Derby
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Portsmouth
  • Tyrese Fornah 26' yellowcard
  • James Collins 86' goal
  • James Collins 88' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 10'
  • yellowcard Regan Poole 28'
  • yellowcard Alex Robertson 65'
  • goal Colby Bishop 90'+5'

Form Data

Bristol City 2 - 1 Portsmouth
Lincoln 1 - 3 Portsmouth
Portsmouth 1 - 3 QPR
West Ham 3 - 1 Portsmouth
Darmstadt 0 - 0 Portsmouth
Farnborough 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Derby 0 - 3 Swansea
Derby 2 - 2 Cardiff
Charlton 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 1 - 2 Lincoln
Rotherham 1 - 1 Derby
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Derby