Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
The Den

Millwall vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Preston 0 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea 2 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Adam Idah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 34.08% and a draw has a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).

Result

Millwall 40.24% ▲ (+0.53)
Draw 25.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Swansea City 34.08% ▼ (-0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.2% ▼ (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.53% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 23.47% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 52.54% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 47.46% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 30.41% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 69.59% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 4.5 17.01% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 82.99% ▲ (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Millwall 29.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 44.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Swansea City 25.66%

Team To Score First

Millwall 49.98% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 6.35% ▲ (+0.09)
Swansea City 43.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 48.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 12.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 39.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 36.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 63.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 40.79% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 59.21% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 69.33% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 30.67% ▲ (+0.60)
Over 1.5 36.08% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 1.5 63.92% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 2.5 13.98% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 86.02% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 4.53% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 95.47% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Millwall 40.23%
Draw 25.64%
Swansea City 34.08%
Millwall
1-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 40.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.64%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.23)
Total : 34.08%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 38' goal
  • Derek Mazou-Sacko 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 77' yellowcard
  • Aidomo Emakhu 77' yellowcard
  • Alfie Doughty 85' yellowcard
  • Caleb Taylor 90'+2' goal
  • Ryan Leonard 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Cabango 47'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 59'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 59'
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenić 73'
  • yellowcard Zeidane Inoussa 73'
  • yellowcard Bobby Wales 88'
Championship
Sep 27, 2025 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • George Saville 38' goal
  • Femi Azeez 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ji-Sung Eom 32'
Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Liam Cullen 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Wintle 40'
  • yellowcard Romain Esse 42'
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 89'
  • goal Casper De Norre 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Mihailo Ivanovic 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Japhet Tanganga 84' redcard
  • Azeem Abdulai 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 65'
  • goal Casper De Norre 72'
  • redcard Jerry Yates 85'
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara 90'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • Jake Cooper 22' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Lowe 23'
  • goal Matt Grimes 57'
  • yellowcard Carl Rushworth 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Cabango 73'
  • goal Mykola Kukharevych 79'