Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Amario Cozier-Duberry 50' goal
  • Will Lankshear 61' goal
  • Riley McGree 66' yellowcard
  • goal Taïryk Arconte 11'
  • goal Lyndon Dykes 36'
  • yellowcard Derek Mazou-Sacko 59'

Middlesbrough vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 4 - 3 Norwich
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Blackburn 3 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (6.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 51.71% ▲ (+6.93)
Draw 24.12% ▼ (-0.53)
Millwall 24.17% ▼ (-6.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.97% ▲ (+1.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.26% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 1.5 21.74% ▼ (-1.44)
Over 2.5 55.03% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 2.5 44.97% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 3.5 32% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 3.5 68% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 4.5 18.97% ▲ (+1.65)
Under 4.5 81.03% ▼ (-1.65)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 41.4% ▲ (+4.02)
Draw 40.69% ▼ (-2.10)
Millwall 17.92% ▼ (-1.92)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 60.63% ▲ (+2.72)
No Goal 5.76% ▼ (-0.59)
Millwall 33.61% ▼ (-2.14)

Corners

Over 8 67.97% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 8 9.93% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 8 22.1% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 9 57% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 32.03% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 10.5 45.87% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 54.13% ▲ (+0.10)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 50.68% ▲ (+6.46)
Under 1.5 49.32% ▼ (-6.46)
Over 2.5 24.87% ▲ (+4.73)
Under 2.5 75.13% ▼ (-4.72)
Over 3.5 9.79% ▲ (+2.46)
Under 3.5 90.21% ▼ (-2.47)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 61.87% ▼ (-4.43)
Under 0.5 38.13% ▲ (+4.43)
Over 1.5 28.19% ▼ (-4.60)
Under 1.5 71.81% ▲ (+4.61)
Over 2.5 9.39% ▼ (-3.01)
Under 2.5 90.61% ▲ (+3.02)
Over 3.5 2.6% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 3.5 97.4% ▲ (+1.28)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 51.71%
Draw 24.14%
Millwall 24.18%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 10.35% ▲ (+0.55)
1-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.39)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+1.24)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.81)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.92)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.56)
Other @ 9.69% ▲ (+2.47)
Total : 51.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.59)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.14%
Millwall
0-1 @ 6.31% ▼ (-1.24)
1-2 @ 6.24% ▼ (-1.09)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▼ (-1.09)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.67)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.98)
Other @ 2.5% ▼ (-1.26)
Total : 24.18%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2026 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Dael Fry 26' goal
  • Alex Bangura 78' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Sarmiento 89' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Coburn 58'
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 64'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Langstaff 85'
  • goal Josh Coburn 86'
  • yellowcard Danny McNamara  90'+5'
  • yellowcard Luke Cundle 90'+5'
Championship
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Camiel Neghli 65' goal
  • Femi Azeez 88' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 10' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 37' yellowcard
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 54'
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 90'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
  • Joe Bryan 10' goal
  • George Honeyman 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Engel 38'
  • goal Isaiah Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 66'
  • goal Marcus Forss 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • goal Romain Esse 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 80'