MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 05:52:02| >> :120:67474:67474:
[monks data]
Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
Genoa logo

Cagliari
2 - 3
Genoa

Pedro (16' pen.), Ceppitelli (56')
Ceppitelli (35'), Pedro (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Destro (59'), Fares (69', 78')
Biraschi (11'), Sabelli (15'), Kallon (58')

Preview: Cagliari vs. Genoa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cagliari and Genoa will both go in search of their first league wins of the season when they meet in Serie A on Sunday.

The hosts have taken one point from their opening two games and sit 14th, while the visitors are yet to get off the mark and are 19th.


Match preview

Cagliari's Nahitan Nandez celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 2, 2021© Reuters

Cagliari only survived relegation by four points last season, largely thanks to the appointment of Leonardo Semplici in February who turned the club's fortunes around.

Supporters are hopeful that Casteddu can kick on in Semplici's first full season in charge, but it has been a tricky start to the campaign.

After fighting back from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Spezia on the opening weekend, Cagliari were beaten 4-1 by AC Milan a fortnight ago.

The Sardinian outfit will be desperate to get three points on the board at the third attempt, particularly as they travel to early league leaders Lazio next weekend.

Genoa coach Davide Ballardini on April 18, 2021.© Reuters

However, Genoa have won 1-0 in each of the last three meetings between the two sides.

Il Grifone could not have asked for a much tougher start to the new season, as they were thrashed 4-0 by reigning champions Inter Milan on the opening weekend before losing 2-1 to Napoli two weeks ago.

The Liguria outfit nearly took a point against Gli Azzurri before conceding in the 84th minute, while Goran Pandev also had a goal harshly ruled out for a foul on the goalkeeper.

Manager Davide Ballardini is in his fourth spell in charge of Genoa and took them to 11th place last season, their highest finish in five years. The 57-year-old has also had three previous spells in charge of Cagliari.

No Serie A side scored fewer goals away from home last season than Genoa (18), so Ballardini will hope that the deadline day arrival of Felipe Caicedo from Lazio will help in that department.

Cagliari Serie A form:
  • D
  • L

Cagliari form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L

Genoa Serie A form:
  • L
  • L

Genoa form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Leonardo Semplici, now in charge of Cagliari, pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Cagliari boosted their attacking options by signing Keita Balde from Monaco on deadline day, with the Senegalese international set to partner captain Joao Pedro upfront.

There are doubts over the fitness of defenders Luca Ceppitelli and Diego Godin, the latter of whom picked up an injury on international duty with Uruguay, which should pave the way for Martin Caceres to make his debut in the backline.

Goalkeeper Alessio Cragno missed the defeat to AC Milan with a hamstring injury, but returned to training on Thursday so could feature.

Genoa could hand debuts to a quartet of deadline day signings – Felipe Caicedo, Abdoulaye Toure, Mohamed Fares and Nikola Maksimovic.

Fellow new arrival Pablo Galdames has been on international duty with Chile and will not return to Italy until Saturday morning, meaning he is unlikely to play.

Midfielder Francesco Cassata is a long-term absentee for Il Grifone, having undergone a knee operation at the end of August.

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Cragno; Zappa, Caceres, Carboni; Nandez, Marin, Strootman, Deiola, Dalbert; Pedro, Balde

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Vanheusden, Maksimovic, Criscito; Ghiglione, Toure, Badelj, Hernani, Fares; Pandev, Caicedo


SM words green background

We say: Cagliari 1-2 Genoa

Both sides should be reinvigorated by a flurry of new faces in the last few days of the transfer window, meaning a tight game is in store. Genoa were unlucky to lose to Napoli last time out and we think the visitors will get their first points on the board in Sardinia.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



ID:463132:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9156:
Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Cagliari vs Genoa

Cagliari
56.1%
Draw
18.2%
Genoa
25.8%
66
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Uruguay's Nahitan Nandez in action at the Copa America on June 21, 2021
Read Next:
Leeds 'in advanced negotiations over Nahitan Nandez deal'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Chiefs
@
Browns
6pm
Ravens
@
Giants
6pm
Jets
@
Jags
6pm
Cowboys
@
Panthers
6pm
Washington
@
Saints
6pm
Dolphins
@
Texans
6pm
Bengals
@
Titans
9.25pm
Colts
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Buccaneers
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Steelers
@
Eagles
9.25pm
Bills
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!