CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade 26 Mars

Djoliba
1 - 0
ASKO de Kara

Simpara (19' pen.)
Kassahun Liyeh (42'), Armel Kader Glougbe (44'), Gidey (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dube (45')
Madjedje (17'), Abalo (23'), Nondo (51')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Djoliba and ASKO de Kara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 SC Villa
Saturday, August 24 at 1pm in CAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Young Africans

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Young Africans 6-0 Vital'O
Saturday, August 24 at 5pm in CAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Africans win with a probability of 74.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Ethiopia Nigd Bank had a probability of 8.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Africans win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.25%) and 0-3 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Africans would win this match.

Result
Ethiopia Nigd BankDrawYoung Africans
8.68% (-18.167 -18.17)17.11% (-11.37 -11.37)74.21% (29.541 29.54)
Both teams to score 40.39% (-3.172 -3.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.38% (15.519 15.52)46.62% (-15.516 -15.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (12.952 12.95)68.89% (-12.947 -12.95)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.37% (-14.949 -14.95)54.63% (14.953 14.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.34% (-11.302 -11.3)87.66% (11.305 11.31)
Young Africans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (16.807 16.81)10.98% (-16.803 -16.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.77% (28.134 28.13)35.23% (-28.13 -28.13)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia Nigd Bank 8.68%
    Young Africans 74.2%
    Draw 17.11%
Ethiopia Nigd BankDrawYoung Africans
1-0 @ 3.63% (-6.554 -6.55)
2-1 @ 2.42% (-3.61 -3.61)
2-0 @ 1.1% (-3.613 -3.61)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 8.68%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-5.04 -5.04)
0-0 @ 6% (-5.023 -5.02)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-1.188 -1.19)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 17.11%
0-2 @ 14.63% (5.588 5.59)
0-1 @ 13.25% (-0.86 -0.86)
0-3 @ 10.77% (6.909 6.91)
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.491 0.49)
1-3 @ 6.52% (2.947 2.95)
0-4 @ 5.95% (4.717 4.72)
1-4 @ 3.6% (2.456 2.46)
0-5 @ 2.63% (2.314 2.31)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.321 0.32)
1-5 @ 1.59% (1.297 1.3)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.56 0.56)
0-6 @ 0.97% (0.901 0.9)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 74.2%