Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 7, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.30pm
Elversberg 4 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 5.30pm
Bayern 2 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Michael Olise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw has a probability of 18.66% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.62%) , while for a Mainz 05 win it is 1-0 (3.88%).

Result

Mainz 05 14.09% ▼ (-1.18)
Draw 18.66% ▼ (-0.65)
Bayern Munich 67.25% ▲ (+1.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.22% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 1.5 18.78% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 61.41% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 2.5 38.59% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 41.26% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 58.74% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 4.5 28.91% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 71.09% ▲ (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 19.23% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 34.05% ▲ (+0.30)
Bayern Munich 46.71% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 27.77% ▼ (-4.63)
No Goal 5.12% ▲ (+0.07)
Bayern Munich 67.11% ▲ (+4.57)

Corners

Over 8 67.08% ▼ (-0.61)
Equal 8 9.16% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 8 23.76% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 9 57.04% ▼ (-0.47)
Equal 9 10.04% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 9 32.92% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 10.5 46.84% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 10.5 53.16% ▲ (+0.28)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 20.26% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 1.5 79.74% ▲ (+1.26)
Over 2.5 6.66% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 2.5 93.34% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 3.5 2.01% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 97.99% ▲ (+0.18)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 87.17% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 12.83% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 1.5 65.01% ▲ (+0.85)
Under 1.5 34.99% ▼ (-0.84)
Over 2.5 39.35% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 60.65% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 19.93% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 80.07% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 14.08%
Draw 18.67%
Bayern Munich 67.25%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.44)
2-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 14.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 18.67%
Bayern Munich
0-2 @ 10.49% ▲ (+0.63)
0-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.50)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.30)
1-3 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.28)
Other @ 19.76% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 67.25%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Apr 25, 2026 2.30pm
3
4
HT : 3 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Dominik Kohr 15' goal
  • Paul Nebel 29' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 45'+2' goal
  • Armindo Sieb 71' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 79' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 79' yellowcard
  • Anthony Caci 80' yellowcard
  • William Bøving 85' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 85' yellowcard
  • William Bøving 86' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 46'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 46'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 53'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 57'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 57'
  • goal Michael Olise 73'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 77'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 80'
  • goal Harry Kane 83'
Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lennart Karl 29' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 77' yellowcard
  • Alphonso Davies 83' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 87' goal
  • goal Kacper Potulski 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Danny da Costa 50'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 67'
  • yellowcard Kacper Potulski 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Leroy Sane 27' goal
  • Michael Olise 40' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Eric Dier 84' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 36'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 41' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 49' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 60' goal
  • Phillipp Mwene 90' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 78'
  • goal Leroy Sane 87'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 90'+5'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Mewa Arena
  • Dominik Kohr 20' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 2'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 37'
  • yellowcard Konrad Laimer 43'
  • goal Leroy Sane 45'+1'
  • goal Jamal Musiala 45'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 2.30pm
8
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • Konrad Laimer 5' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 13' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 19' goal
  • Thomas Muller 47' goal
  • Harry Kane 45'+7' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 61' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 66' goal
  • Harry Kane 70' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 90'+2' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 31'
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 84'