DFB-Pokal
Oct 27, 2026 5.00pm
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Mainz 05

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for VfL Bochum has a probability of 32% and a draw has a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win is 2-1 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.24%).

Result

VfL Bochum 32% ▼ (-1.86)
Draw 22.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Mainz 05 45.75% ▲ (+1.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% ▲ (+1.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.03% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 16.97% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 2.5 63.54% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 2.5 36.46% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 41.76% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 3.5 58.24% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 4.5 26.53% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 4.5 73.47% ▼ (-0.57)

First Half Winner

VfL Bochum 28.2% ▼ (-0.70)
Draw 36.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Mainz 05 34.83% ▲ (+0.76)

Team To Score First

VfL Bochum 41.92% ▼ (-1.86)
No Goal 4.41% ▼ (-0.23)
Mainz 05 53.67% ▲ (+2.10)

Corners

Over 8 55.89% ▲ (+1.30)
Equal 8 11.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 33.09% ▼ (-1.26)
Over 9 44.82% ▲ (+1.22)
Equal 9 11.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 44.11% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 10.5 34.57% ▲ (+1.08)
Under 10.5 65.43% ▼ (-1.07)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 1.5 38.85% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 61.15% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 2.5 17.85% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 2.5 82.15% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 3.5 6.34% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 93.66% ▲ (+0.26)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 77.76% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 0.5 22.24% ▼ (-1.44)
Over 1.5 50.54% ▲ (+1.97)
Under 1.5 49.46% ▼ (-1.97)
Over 2.5 26.58% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 2.5 73.42% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 3.5 11.93% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 88.07% ▼ (-0.60)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 32%
Draw 22.31%
Mainz 05 45.75%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.42)
1-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.38)
2-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 32%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.31%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.21)
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.38)
0-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.59)
Total : 45.75%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Tom Krauss 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Sissoko 65' yellowcard
  • Ivan Ordets 82' yellowcard
  • Gerrit Holtmann 84' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 45'+3'
  • goal Phillipp Mwene 53'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 73'
  • goal Paul Nebel 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 23' goal
  • Jonathan Burkardt 69' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Hofmann 33'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sissoko 45'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Dominik Kohr 1' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 8' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 45'+3' goal
  • Jonathan Burkardt 71' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 84' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo 33'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 47'
  • yellowcard Keven Schlotterbeck 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Kevin Stoger 21' goal
  • Bernardo 51' yellowcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 82' goal
  • Goncalo Paciencia 88' yellowcard
  • Anthony Losilla 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 15'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 20'
  • goal Keven Schlotterbeck 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 71'
  • goal Tom Krauss 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 1' goal
  • Silvan Widmer 17' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 28' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 57' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Pierre Kunde 70'
  • goal Erhan Masovic 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kostas Stafylidis 13' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stoger 39' goal
  • Silvere Ganvoula 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 26'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 33'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 64'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 77'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 84'