Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Veltins-Arena

Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 Schalke
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Robin Gosens

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 3 - 4 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Schalke 04 has a probability of 28.5% and a draw has a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win is 2-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.7%).

Result

Schalke 04 28.5% ▼ (-4.57)
Draw 24.56% ▼ (-1.84)
Mainz 05 46.97% ▲ (+6.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.24% ▲ (+1.54)
Under 1.5 20.76% ▼ (-1.53)
Over 2.5 57.66% ▲ (+2.35)
Under 2.5 42.34% ▼ (-2.31)
Over 3.5 36.12% ▲ (+2.56)
Under 3.5 63.81% ▼ (-2.60)
Over 4.5 22.46% ▲ (+2.45)
Under 4.5 77.54% ▼ (-2.45)

First Half Winner

Schalke 04 26.72% ▼ (-3.66)
Draw 38.58% ▲ (+1.88)
Mainz 05 34.7% ▲ (+1.78)

Team To Score First

Schalke 04 42.26% ▼ (-6.38)
No Goal 6.33% ▼ (-0.39)
Mainz 05 51.41% ▲ (+6.76)

Corners

Over 8 56.18% ▼ (-1.68)
Equal 8 10.91% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 8 32.91% ▲ (+1.90)
Over 9 45.18% ▼ (-1.36)
Equal 9 10.99% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 9 43.82% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 10.5 34.96% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 10.5 65.04% ▲ (+0.95)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 1.5 32.91% ▼ (-3.75)
Under 1.5 67.09% ▲ (+3.75)
Over 2.5 12.93% ▼ (-2.34)
Under 2.5 87.07% ▲ (+2.34)
Over 3.5 4.22% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 3.5 95.78% ▲ (+0.93)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% ▲ (+3.50)
Under 0.5 22.66% ▼ (-3.49)
Over 1.5 48.86% ▲ (+5.71)
Under 1.5 51.14% ▼ (-5.71)
Over 2.5 25.64% ▲ (+5.22)
Under 2.5 74.36% ▼ (-5.21)
Over 3.5 11.24% ▲ (+3.08)
Under 3.5 88.76% ▼ (-3.08)

Score analysis

Schalke 04 28.5%
Draw 24.56%
Mainz 05 46.96%
Schalke 04
2-1 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.83)
1-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-1.00)
2-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.78)
3-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.53)
Other @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.79)
Total : 28.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.75)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.34)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Total : 24.56%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.25)
0-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.75)
1-3 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.92)
0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.91)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.54)
Other @ 10.98% ▲ (+3.23)
Total : 46.96%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leandro Barreiro 53' goal
  • Aaron Caricol 70' goal
  • goal Marius Bulter 26'
  • goal Tom Krauss 60'
  • goal Marius Bulter 90'+12'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Simon Terodde 10' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2021 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sead Kolasinac 9' yellowcard
  • Omar Mascarell 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 47'
  • yellowcard Adam Szalai 51'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Daniel Brosinski 6' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 45'+2' goal
  • Danny Latza 64' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Uth 36'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 44'
  • yellowcard Joseph Laumann 54'
  • goal Jeremiah St Juste 82' (OG)
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2020 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Opel Arena
  • Jeffrey Bruma 33' yellowcard
  • Daniel Brosinski 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Clair Todibo 58'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Kutucu 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2019 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen)
  • Suat Serdar 36' goal
  • Weston McKennie 47' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 89' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Brosinski 65'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 74'