Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Mainz
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mewa Arena
Frankfurt
  • Phillip Tietz 89' goal
  • goal Can Uzun 9'
  • yellowcard Raphael Onyedika 41'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 45'+1'
  • goal Can Uzun 60'
  • yellowcard Mario Götze 70'

Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 0 - 5 Mainz
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 4 Augsburg
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Younes Ebnoutalib

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 46.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt 29.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 21.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 57.07% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 42.93% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 36.06% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.94% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 22.51% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 77.49% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 38.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 35.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Eintracht Frankfurt 26.32% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 55.07% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 6.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Eintracht Frankfurt 38.6% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 62.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 26.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 51.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 37.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 40.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 59.87% ▲ (+0.04)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 47.69% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 52.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 23.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 76.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 9.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 90.04% ▼ (-0.05)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5 64.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.62% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 46.61%
Draw 23.78%
Eintracht Frankfurt 29.59%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 46.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.78%
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-1 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.59%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Mainz
Mar 22, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mewa Arena
Frankfurt
  • Paul Nebel 6' goal
  • Nikolas Veratschnig 69' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 69' yellowcard
  • Sota Kawasaki 81' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 89' goal
  • Lennard Maloney 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Nathaniel Brown 20'
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 46'
  • yellowcard Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab 58'
  • yellowcard Elias Baum 64'
  • yellowcard Ansgar Knauff 79'
  • yellowcard Can Uzun 79'
Bundesliga
Frankfurt
Nov 9, 2025 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Mainz
May 4, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
Frankfurt
  • Jonathan Burkardt 57' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 72' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 16'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Frankfurt
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Mainz
  • Jean-Matteo Bahoya 65' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 75' goal
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 11'
  • goal Kaua Morais Vieira dos Santos 15' (OG)
  • redcard Nadiem Amiri 21'
  • goal Paul Nebel 27'
  • goal Paul Nebel 58'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Frankfurt
Jan 26, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz
  • William Pacho 24' yellowcard
  • Niels Nkounkou 34' yellowcard
  • Mario Gotze 72' goal
  • yellowcard Silvan Widmer 40'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mainz
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA
Frankfurt
  • Lee Jae-sung 25' goal
  • Edimilson Fernandes 55' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 75' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Koch 32'
  • yellowcard Dino Toppmoller 33'
  • yellowcard Ansgar Knauff 49'
  • redcard Ansgar Knauff 61'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Omar Marmoush 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 90'+6'

Form Data

Hamburger SV 0 - 5 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 0 SC Paderborn
Krieschow 0 - 9 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Bournemouth
Mainz 4 - 0 Paris FC
Udinese 3 - 3 Mainz
Frankfurt 1 - 4 Augsburg
Union Berlin 3 - 3 Frankfurt
St Tonis 0 - 11 Frankfurt
Brentford 7 - 0 Frankfurt
FSV Frankfurt 1 - 5 Frankfurt
Frankfurt 2 - 0 Hull City