Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2026 2.30pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Schalke 0 - 1 Mainz
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Niclas Füllkrug

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Werder Bremen has a probability of 25.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win is 0-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).

Result

Mainz 05 49.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Werder Bremen 25.55% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.05% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 54.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 20.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 79.77% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 40.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 36.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Werder Bremen 22.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 59.86% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.45%
Werder Bremen 33.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 26.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 51.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 37.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 40.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 59.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 49.07% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 50.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 23.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 76.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.63% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.37% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 11.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 49.17%
Draw 25.33%
Werder Bremen 25.55%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 49.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.33%
Werder Bremen
0-1 @ 6.34%
1-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Mar 15, 2026 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Wohninvest Weserstadion
  • Justin Njinmah 46' yellowcard
  • Mick Schmetgens 55' yellowcard
  • Patrice Covic 68' yellowcard
  • Patrice Covic 69' yellowcard
  • Isaac Schmidt 69' yellowcard
  • Salim Musah 85' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Nebel 5'
  • goal Jae-sung Lee 52'
  • yellowcard Nikolas Veratschnig 72'
  • yellowcard Nelson Weiper 72'
  • yellowcard Kacper Potulski 81'
  • yellowcard Sota Kawasaki 87'
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 87'
Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 14' goal
  • Marco Friedl 26' yellowcard
  • Niklas Stark 42' yellowcard
  • Romano Schmid 78' yellowcard
  • Michael Zetterer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Senne Lynen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Niklas Stark 90'+3' redcard
  • Marco Friedl 90'+4' redcard
  • Mitchell Weiser 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Ole Werner 90'+8' redcard
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 10'
  • yellowcard 15'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 44'
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Lee Jae-sung 27' goal
  • Anthony Caci 45' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 66' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 8'
  • yellowcard Michael Zetterer 60'
  • redcard Marco Friedl 60'
  • goal Derrick Kohn 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Tom Krauss 67' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 79' yellowcard
  • Marco Richter 87' yellowcard
  • Anthony Caci 88' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 2'
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 35'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 45'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 88'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Weserstadion
  • Marvin Ducksch 3' goal
  • Jens Stage 10' yellowcard
  • Jens Stage 53' goal
  • Marco Friedl 55' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 82' goal
  • Justin Njinmah 83' goal
  • yellowcard Andreas Hanche-Olsen 2'
  • yellowcard Sepp van den Berg 65'
  • yellowcard Sepp van den Berg 65'+65'