Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Oct 9, 2026 7.30pm
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.30pm
Stuttgart 0 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 3 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Niclas Füllkrug

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw has a probability of 20.29% and a win for Werder Bremen has a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.23%) , while for a Werder Bremen win it is 1-2 (3.86%).

Result

Borussia Dortmund 65.39%
Draw 20.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Werder Bremen 14.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

49% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 44.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 34.38%
Under 3.5 65.62%
Over 4.5 22.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.14% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 47.63%
Draw 34.89%
Werder Bremen 17.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 65.91%
No Goal 6.64%
Werder Bremen 27.45%

Corners

Over 8 65.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 24.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 54.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 34.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 43.22%
Under 10.5 56.78%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 59.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 40.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 33.16%
Under 2.5 66.84%
Over 3.5 14.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 85.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 46.51%
Under 0.5 53.49%
Over 1.5 19.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 80.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.39%
Draw 20.29%
Werder Bremen 14.32%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 12.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.88% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.59%
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 14.84%
Total : 65.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.29%
Werder Bremen
1-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.32%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wohninvest Weserstadion
  • Marco Friedl 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Grüll 53' yellowcard
  • Patrice Covic 70' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mbangula 70' yellowcard
  • Patrice Covic 71' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mbangula 71' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Bittencourt 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 59'
  • yellowcard Julian Brandt 69'
  • yellowcard Carney Chukwuemeka 69'
  • yellowcard Julian Brandt 70'
  • yellowcard Carney Chukwuemeka 70'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 83'
  • yellowcard Fábio Silva 83'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 88'
  • goal Yan Couto 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 11' goal
  • Emre Can 46' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Beier 67' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 67' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 67' yellowcard
  • Daniel Svensson 67' yellowcard
  • Daniel Svensson 68' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 75' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jovan Milosevic 69'
  • yellowcard Olivier Deman 81'
  • yellowcard Samuel Mbangula 81'
  • yellowcard Cameron Puertas 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Julian Ryerson 10' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 21' redcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 28' goal
  • Marco Friedl 51' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 63'
  • goal Leonardo Bittencourt 65'
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 72'
  • yellowcard Justin Njinmah 79'
  • yellowcard Jens Stage 87'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
  • Mitchell Weiser 41' yellowcard
  • Marco Friedl 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 29'
  • yellowcard Niklas Sule 34'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 48'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 53'
  • redcard Nico Schlotterbeck 73'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 85'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Weserstadion
  • Justin Njinmah 70' goal
  • Romano Schmid 77' yellowcard
  • goal Donyell Malen 21'
  • goal Jadon Sancho 38'
  • redcard Marcel Sabitzer 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 78'
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Felix Nmecha 44' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 67' goal
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bittencourt 61'
  • yellowcard Jens Stage 75'
  • yellowcard Milos Veljkovic 83'
  • yellowcard Olivier Deman 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Marvin Ducksch 90'+5'