Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MHPArena
  • Ermedin Demirovic 13' yellowcard
  • Angelo Stiller 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck  32'
  • yellowcard Joey Veerman 46'
  • yellowcard Joane Gadou 57'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 70'
  • yellowcard Jobe Bellingham 81'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 82'

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Josha Vagnoman

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.45%) and 3-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Stuttgart 43.75% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 22.45% ▼ (-0.06)
Borussia Dortmund 33.8% ▲ (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.83%
Under 1.5 13.17%
Over 2.5 69.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 30.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 47.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 52.02% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 31.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 68.9% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Stuttgart 41%
Draw 35.54% ▼ (-0.15)
Borussia Dortmund 23.46% ▲ (+0.16)

Team To Score First

Stuttgart 58.68% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Borussia Dortmund 38.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 68.05% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 8 10.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 21.94% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 9 56.99% ▼ (-0.37)
Equal 9 11.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 31.95% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 10.5 45.77% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 10.5 54.23% ▲ (+0.36)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 1.5 52.55% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 47.45% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 27.9% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 72.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 12.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 87.49% ▲ (+0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 71.17% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 28.83% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 43.94% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 56.06% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 21.04% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 78.96% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 8.67% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.33% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 43.75%
Draw 22.45%
Borussia Dortmund 33.8%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 11.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.45%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 33.8%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT MHPArena
  • Jamie Leweling 69' yellowcard
  • Bilal El Khannouss 72' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomás 72' yellowcard
  • Chema Andrés 88' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 64'
  • yellowcard Fábio Silva 64'
  • yellowcard Julian Brandt 72'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 90'+4'
  • goal Julian Brandt 90'+6'
Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Emre Can 17' yellowcard
  • Julian Ryerson 56' yellowcard
  • Karim Adeyemi 60' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 81' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 89' redcard
  • Julien Duranville 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Waldemar Anton 50' (OG)
  • goal Julian Chabot 61'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 89'
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Deniz Undav 4' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 17' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 21' goal
  • Enzo Millot 62' goal
  • El Bilal Toure 80' goal
  • Deniz Undav 90' goal
  • yellowcard Emre Can 73'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 75'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 77'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Julian Brandt 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Karim Adeyemi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 9'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 26'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 64'
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 71'
  • yellowcard Alexander Nubel 85'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Serhou Guirassy 54' goal
  • Waldemar Anton 64' yellowcard
  • Silla Wamangituka 77' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 67'