Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2026 5.30pm
MHPArena

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Stuttgart
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Josha Vagnoman

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 33.26% and a draw has a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.62%) and 3-1 (5.3%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.93%).

Result

Stuttgart 44.4% (+1.33)
Draw 22.34% (-1.13)
Borussia Dortmund 33.26% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

67% (+3.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.56% (+3.15)
Under 1.5 13.44% (-3.14)
Over 2.5 68.65% (+5.42)
Under 2.5 31.35% (-5.41)
Over 3.5 47.51% (+6.34)
Under 3.5 52.49% (-6.34)
Over 4.5 30.95% (+5.47)
Under 4.5 69.05% (-5.47)

First Half Winner

Stuttgart 41.17% (+3.96)
Draw 35.94% (-2.41)
Borussia Dortmund 22.89% (-1.56)

Team To Score First

Stuttgart 56.12% (+1.11)
No Goal 3.22% (-0.88)
Borussia Dortmund 40.66% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 68.46% (+6.78)
Equal 8 10.22% (-0.63)
Under 8 21.33% (-6.14)
Over 9 57.08% (+6.80)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.04)
Under 9 31.54% (-6.79)
Over 10.5 45.54% (+6.25)
Under 10.5 54.46% (-6.25)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 1.5 52.62% (+3.65)
Under 1.5 47.38% (-3.65)
Over 2.5 27.91% (+3.84)
Under 2.5 72.09% (-3.85)
Over 3.5 12.47% (+2.65)
Under 3.5 87.53% (-2.65)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 70.7% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 29.3% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 43.27% (+2.34)
Under 1.5 56.73% (-2.34)
Over 2.5 20.74% (+2.41)
Under 2.5 79.26% (-2.41)
Over 3.5 8.62% (+1.81)
Under 3.5 91.38% (-1.82)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 44.41%
Draw 22.34%
Borussia Dortmund 33.27%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 5.62% (-1.13)
3-1 @ 5.3% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.59)
3-2 @ 4.43% (+0.52)
3-0 @ 3.36%
Other @ 11.91% (+2.53)
Total : 44.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% (-1.17)
2-2 @ 7.28% (+0.45)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.88)
3-3 @ 2.35% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.56% (+0.12)
Total : 22.34%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.49)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-1.09)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.57)
2-3 @ 3.64% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.15)
Other @ 8.06% (+1.71)
Total : 33.27%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT MHPArena
  • Jamie Leweling 69' yellowcard
  • Bilal El Khannouss 72' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomás 72' yellowcard
  • Chema Andrés 88' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Karim Adeyemi 64'
  • yellowcard Fábio Silva 64'
  • yellowcard Julian Brandt 72'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 90'+4'
  • goal Julian Brandt 90'+6'
Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Emre Can 17' yellowcard
  • Julian Ryerson 56' yellowcard
  • Karim Adeyemi 60' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 81' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 89' redcard
  • Julien Duranville 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Waldemar Anton 50' (OG)
  • goal Julian Chabot 61'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 89'
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Deniz Undav 4' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 17' yellowcard
  • Ermedin Demirovic 21' goal
  • Enzo Millot 62' goal
  • El Bilal Toure 80' goal
  • Deniz Undav 90' goal
  • yellowcard Emre Can 73'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 75'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 77'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Julian Brandt 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Karim Adeyemi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 9'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 26'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 64'
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 71'
  • yellowcard Alexander Nubel 85'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Serhou Guirassy 54' goal
  • Waldemar Anton 64' yellowcard
  • Silla Wamangituka 77' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 67'