Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Oct 31, 2026 5.30pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.30pm
Bayern 6 - 1 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Michael Olise

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 5.30pm
Dortmund 1 - 0 Frankfurt
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw has a probability of 19.69% and a win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.33%) and 1-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.5%) , while for a Borussia Dortmund win it is 1-2 (4.19%).

Result

Bayern Munich 64.64% ▼ (-1.30)
Draw 19.69% ▲ (+0.23)
Borussia Dortmund 15.67% ▲ (+1.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.29% ▲ (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 65.76% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 34.24% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 45.69% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 54.31% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 31.32% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 4.5 68.68% ▲ (+1.15)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 51.44% ▼ (-5.82)
Draw 29.69% ▲ (+1.34)
Borussia Dortmund 18.88% ▲ (+4.49)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 63.63% ▼ (-3.14)
No Goal 3.85% ▼ (-0.32)
Borussia Dortmund 32.52% ▲ (+3.47)

Corners

Over 8 68.45% ▲ (+1.60)
Equal 8 9.06% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 8 22.49% ▼ (-2.22)
Over 9 58.42% ▲ (+0.83)
Equal 9 10.03% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 9 31.55% ▼ (-1.59)
Over 10.5 48.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 51.87% ▼ (-0.06)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 65.92% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 34.08% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 2.5 41.55% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 2.5 58.45% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 3.5 21.6% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 3.5 78.4% ▲ (+1.86)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 51.09% ▲ (+2.12)
Under 0.5 48.91% ▼ (-2.12)
Over 1.5 23.3% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 1.5 76.7% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 2.5 8.16% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 91.84% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 3.5 2.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.69% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 64.65%
Draw 19.69%
Borussia Dortmund 15.67%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.23)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.71)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 21.47% ▼ (-1.72)
Total : 64.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 19.69%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.19)
0-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.35)
0-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.24)
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.20)
Total : 15.67%

Head to Head

DFL-Supercup
Aug 22, 2026 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Fábio Silva 75' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 90' redcard
  • goal Nathaniel Brown 28'
  • goal Michael Olise 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Luis Díaz 45'+1'
Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Signal Iduna Park
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 26' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 45' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 67' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 74' yellowcard
  • Samuele Inácio 75' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 75' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Svensson 83' goal
  • goal Harry Kane 54'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 62'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 70'
  • goal Joshua Kimmich 87'
  • yellowcard Tom Bischof 90'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 90'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 90'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Leon Goretzka 90'+2'
Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Raphael Guerreiro 65' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 69' goal
  • goal Maximilian Beier 48'
  • goal Waldemar Anton 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 27' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 71' yellowcard
  • Nuri Sahin 80' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Beier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Musiala 85'
  • yellowcard Leroy Sane 88'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 90'+3'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Arena
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 10'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 83'