Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 0 Elversberg
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Tim Skarke

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 7.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw has a probability of 23.07% and a win for Union Berlin has a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.94%) , while for a Union Berlin win it is 2-1 (5.85%).

Result

Union Berlin 22.92%
Draw 23.07%
Borussia Dortmund 54.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.28%
Under 1.5 20.72%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.5%
Over 3.5 35.16%
Under 3.5 64.84%
Over 4.5 21.55%
Under 4.5 78.45%

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 22.47%
Draw 32.84%
Borussia Dortmund 44.69%

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 37.24%
No Goal 5.83%
Borussia Dortmund 56.93%

Corners

Over 8 64.92%
Equal 8 10.89%
Under 8 24.19%
Over 9 53.15%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 35.08%
Over 10.5 41.56%
Under 10.5 58.44%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 28%
Under 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 10.29%
Under 2.5 89.71%
Over 3.5 3.12%
Under 3.5 96.88%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 81.47%
Under 0.5 18.53%
Over 1.5 53.94%
Under 1.5 46.06%
Over 2.5 27.64%
Under 2.5 72.36%
Over 3.5 12.05%
Under 3.5 87.95%

Score analysis

Union Berlin 22.91%
Draw 23.08%
Borussia Dortmund 54.01%
Union Berlin
2-1 @ 5.85%
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 22.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94%
0-0 @ 5.83%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.08%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-1 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 8.91%
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 5.46%
2-3 @ 3.19%
Other @ 11.81%
Total : 54.01%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Livan Burcu 66' yellowcard
  • Stanley Nsoki 66' yellowcard
  • Oliver Burke 76' yellowcard
  • András Schäfer 76' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emre Can 10'
  • goal Nico Schlotterbeck 53'
  • yellowcard Aarón Anselmino 69'
  • yellowcard Carney Chukwuemeka 79'
  • goal Maximilian Beier 84'
  • yellowcard Filippo Mane 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Salih Özcan 90'+3'
Bundesliga
Aug 31, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Diogo Leite 25' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 40' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 50' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 58' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 75' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 80' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 83' goal
  • Maximilian Beier 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 17'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Kevin Vogt 15' yellowcard
  • Kevin Vogt 26' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 41' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 45' goal
  • Tom Rothe 84' yellowcard
  • Christopher Trimmel 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 17'
  • goal Julian Ryerson 62'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 83'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ramy Bensebaini 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Janik Haberer 75' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 45'
  • goal Ian Maatsen 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Niclas Fullkrug 7' goal
  • Mats Hummels 30' yellowcard
  • Nico Schlotterbeck 49' goal
  • Julian Brandt 54' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 71' goal
  • goal Robin Gosens 9'
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 31'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 64'