Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Elversberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 7.30pm
Bayern 7 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Tim Skarke

Elversberg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 4.30pm
Schalke 0 - 0 Elversberg
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Maurice Krattenmacher

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Elversberg win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 31.44% and a draw has a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Union Berlin 31.44% ▼ (-2.66)
Draw 26.86% ▲ (+0.63)
Elversberg 41.67% ▲ (+2.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.03% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.31% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 23.69% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 2.5 54.43% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 45.57% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 33.45% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 66.52% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 4.5 20.25% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 4.5 79.75% ▼ (-0.47)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 24.39% ▼ (-4.86)
Draw 36.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Elversberg 38.73% ▲ (+4.87)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 42.15% ▼ (-3.75)
No Goal 7.56% ▲ (+0.22)
Elversberg 50.29% ▲ (+3.54)

Corners

Over 8 61.57% ▼ (-0.80)
Equal 8 10.57% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 8 27.86% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 9 50.48% ▼ (-0.54)
Equal 9 11.09% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 9 38.43% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 10.5 39.76% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 60.24% ▲ (+0.25)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 34.55% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 1.5 65.45% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 2.5 13.87% ▼ (-1.32)
Under 2.5 86.13% ▲ (+1.32)
Over 3.5 4.45% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 3.5 95.55% ▲ (+0.55)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5 73.58% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 0.5 26.42% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 1.5 44.17% ▲ (+2.13)
Under 1.5 55.83% ▼ (-2.13)
Over 2.5 21.53% ▲ (+2.52)
Under 2.5 78.47% ▼ (-2.52)
Over 3.5 9.25% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 3.5 90.75% ▼ (-1.19)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 31.45%
Draw 26.86%
Elversberg 41.68%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.36)
2-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.75)
Total : 31.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 0.49% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 26.86%
Elversberg
0-1 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.16)
1-2 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.40)
0-3 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.57)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 8.76% ▲ (+1.00)
Total : 41.68%