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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Freiburg logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Freiburg

Rosenboom (24')
Gigovic (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manzambi (45+2'), Holer (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 2-3 Freiburg

Holstein Kiel are in strong goalscoring form, and they will be confident of finding the back of the net against the visitors. However, Freiburg have also managed to create numerous chances in recent weeks, and they boast an excellent record away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Holstein KielDrawFreiburg
28.39% (0.392 0.39) 23.61% (0.14 0.14) 48% (-0.534 -0.53)
Both teams to score 59.36% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86% (-0.384 -0.38)42.13% (0.382 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46% (-0.387 -0.39)64.54% (0.38499999999999 0.38)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)27.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.42% (-0.101 -0.1)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)17.74% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.613 -0.61)48.42% (0.611 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 28.39%
    Freiburg 48%
    Draw 23.6%
Holstein KielDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.122 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.39%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg

Holstein Kiel
31.1%
Draw
28.9%
Freiburg
40.0%
45
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Freiburg
3-2
Holstein Kiel
Remberg (23' og.), Gunter (38'), Grifo (74')
Kubler (58'), Gregoritsch (90+5')
Harres (85', 90')
Harres (37'), Gigovic (45+3'), Javorcek (90+5')
Oct 31, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Freiburg
Serra (26'), Kinsombi (79')
Dehm (51')
Petersen (1')
Petersen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33169865452057
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Stuttgart331381261511047
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
11Augsburg331110123449-1543
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14St Pauli3388172839-1132
15Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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