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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Freiburg |
28.39% (![]() | 23.61% (![]() | 48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.86% (![]() | 42.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.46% (![]() | 64.54% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% (![]() | 27.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% (![]() | 63.42% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% (![]() | 17.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.57% (![]() | 48.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 6.99% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 10.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 3.77% Total : 48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 32 | 63 | 79 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 68 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
4 | Freiburg | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 55 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
9 | Stuttgart | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 45 |
11 | Augsburg | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 43 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 37 |
14 | St Pauli | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 49 | 77 | -28 | 25 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 22 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |