Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Freiburg

Rosenboom (24')
Gigovic (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Manzambi (45+2'), Holer (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Freiburg
28.39% ( 0.39)	23.61% ( 0.14)	48% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 59.36% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86% (

-0.38)

42.13% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46% (

-0.39)

64.54% (

0.38)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

0.08)

27.83% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.1)

63.42% (

-0.1)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0.35)

17.74% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

-0.61)

48.42% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 28.39%

Freiburg 48%

Draw 23.6%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.39%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.77% Total : 48%