Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Lasse Rosenboom 24' goal
  • Armin Gigovic 67' yellowcard
  • goal Johan Manzambi 45'+2'
  • goal Lucas Holer 58'

Holstein Kiel vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 2.30pm
Augsburg 1 - 3 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result

Holstein Kiel 28.39% (+0.40)
Draw 23.61% (+0.15)
Freiburg 48% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.36% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.86% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 42.13% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 35.46% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 64.54% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 18.61% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 81.38% (+0.29)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 72.17% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.83% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.57% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.42% (-0.11)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 82.25% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 17.74% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 51.57% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 48.42% (+0.62)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 28.39%
Draw 23.6%
Freiburg 48%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.99% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.32% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.04% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 28.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.6%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.54% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Nicolai Remberg 23' goal
  • Christian Gunter 38' goal
  • Lukas Kubler 58' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 74' goal
  • Michael Gregoritsch 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phil Harres 37'
  • yellowcard Armin Gigovic 45'+3'
  • goal Phil Harres 85'
  • goal Phil Harres 90'
  • yellowcard Dominik Javorcek 90'+5'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 31, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Janni Serra 26' goal
  • Jannik Dehm 51' yellowcard
  • David Kinsombi 79' goal
  • goal Nils Petersen 1'
  • yellowcard Nils Petersen 90'