Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Dortmund
May 17, 2025 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Holstein Kiel
  • Serhou Guirassy 3' goal
  • Marcel Sabitzer 47' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 56' yellowcard
  • Felix Nmecha 72' goal
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 87' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 90' yellowcard
  • redcard Carl Johansson 9'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Remberg 87'

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 4 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Shuto Machino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 3-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 75.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 13.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Holstein Kiel 10.62% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.46% ▲ (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 77.86% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 2.5 22.14% ▼ (-0.45)
Over 3.5 58.91% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 3.5 41.09% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 4.5 39.4% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 4.5 60.59% ▼ (-0.63)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 95.1% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 4.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 80.33% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 19.67% ▼ (-0.24)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 66.73% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 33.27% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 1.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.60)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 75.81%
Draw 13.58%
Holstein Kiel 10.62%
Borussia Dortmund
3-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
6-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.05)
6-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 75.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 13.58%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 10.62%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Holstein Kiel
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
Dortmund
  • Shuto Machino 27' goal
  • Phil Harres 32' goal
  • Alexander Bernhardsson 45'+4' goal
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 81' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 86' redcard
  • Jann-Fiete Arp 90'+8' goal
  • Jann-Fiete Arp 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julien Duranville 42'
  • goal Giovanni Reyna 71'
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 77'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 86'
DFB-Pokal
Dortmund
May 1, 2021 7.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Holstein Kiel
  • Giovanni Reyna 16' goal
  • Giovanni Reyna 23' goal
  • Marco Reus 26' goal
  • Thorgan Hazard 32' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 41' goal
  • yellowcard Niklas Hauptmann 37'
  • yellowcard Simon Lorenz 86'

Form Data

B. Leverkusen 2 - 4 Dortmund
Dortmund 4 - 0 Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Dortmund
Dortmund 3 - 2 Borussia M'bach
Dortmund 3 - 1 Barcelona
Bayern 2 - 2 Dortmund
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 Freiburg
Augsburg 1 - 3 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 4 - 3 Borussia M'bach
RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 1 - 2 St Pauli
Mainz 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel