Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Guirassy (3' pen.), Sabitzer (47'), Nmecha (72')
Adeyemi (56'), Bynoe-Gittens (87'), Sabitzer (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Remberg (87')
Johansson (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-4 Dortmund
Sunday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, May 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 3-0 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.41%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Holstein Kiel
75.81% ( -0.09)	13.58% ( -0.02)	10.62% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 63.46% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.86% (

0.45)

22.14% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.91% (

0.62)

41.09% (

-0.61)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

0.08)

4.9% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.33% (

0.24)

19.67% (

-0.24)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

0.55)

33.27% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

0.6)

69.88% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 75.81%

Holstein Kiel 10.62%

Draw 13.58%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Holstein Kiel
3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 6-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.9% Total : 75.81%	1-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 13.58%	1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 10.62%