Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 4
Dortmund

Frimpong (30'), Hofmann (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Brandt (33'), Ryerson (43'), Adeyemi (73'), Guirassy (77')
Gross (23'), Nmecha (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-4 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
63.5% ( 0.29)	18.7% ( -0.12)	17.8% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 62.87% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.75% (

0.3)

31.25% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.31% (

0.35)

52.69% (

-0.35)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.56% (

0.15)

9.44% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.28% (

0.36)

31.72% (

-0.36)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

0.02)

30.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

0.02)

66.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 63.5%

Borussia Dortmund 17.8%

Draw 18.7%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.96% Total : 63.5%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.7%	1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 17.8%