Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 13, 2026 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Hristo Botev
  • Kristiyan Balov 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Andrian Kraev 55' yellowcard
  • goal Andri Gudjohnsen 17'
  • goal Orri Óskarsson 21'
  • yellowcard Hörður Magnússon 39'
  • goal Emil Tsenov 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 66'
  • goal Andri Gudjohnsen 68'
  • goal Andri Gudjohnsen 79'

Bulgaria vs Iceland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Iceland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%).

Result

Bulgaria 24.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 23.37%
Iceland 52.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.81%
Under 3.5 69.19%
Over 4.5 18.86%
Under 4.5 81.14%

First Half Winner

Bulgaria 20.34%
Draw 41.6%
Iceland 38.06%

Team To Score First

Bulgaria 36.47%
No Goal 6.91%
Iceland 56.62%

Corners

Over 8 32.28%
Equal 8 10.91%
Under 8 56.81%
Over 9 23.24%
Equal 9 9.04%
Under 9 67.72%
Over 10.5 16.28%
Under 10.5 83.72%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 1.5 26.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.12%
Under 3.5 96.88%

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 21.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 75.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bulgaria 24.19%
Draw 23.38%
Iceland 52.42%
Bulgaria
1-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.38%
Iceland
0-1 @ 10.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.04%
Other @ 9.74%
Total : 52.42%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Laugardalsvöllur
  • Hörður Magnússon 4' yellowcard
  • Mikael Egill Ellertsson 32' yellowcard
  • Orri Óskarsson 37' goal
  • Orri Óskarsson 60' goal
  • Mikael Egill Ellertsson 90' goal
  • yellowcard Lukas Petkov 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitar Velkovski 27'
  • yellowcard Atanas Iliev 59'
  • yellowcard Marin Petkov 80'