Nations League
Gameweek
4
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Luxembourg vs Bulgaria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luxembourg win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Bulgaria has a probability of 33.26% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Bulgaria win is 0-1 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.6%).
Result
Luxembourg
43.14%
▲
(+6.69)
Draw
23.6%
▼
(-1.69)
Bulgaria
33.26%
▼
(-5.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.62%
▲
(+0.70)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.19%
▲
(+1.38)
Under 1.5
23.81%
▼
(-1.39)
Over 2.5
54.22%
▲
(+1.66)
Under 2.5
45.78%
▼
(-1.66)
Over 3.5
31.09%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 3.5
68.91%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 4.5
18.54%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 4.5
81.46%
▼
(-1.09)
First Half Winner
Luxembourg
34.15%
▲
(+2.25)
Draw
38.89%
▼
(-1.73)
Bulgaria
26.96%
▼
(-0.52)
Team To Score First
Luxembourg
51.88%
▲
(+4.27)
No Goal
6.55%
▼
(-0.63)
Bulgaria
41.57%
▼
(-3.64)
Corners
Over 8
47.05%
▼
(-0.53)
Equal 8
11.75%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 8
41.2%
▲
(+1.06)
Over 9
36.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
11.01%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 9
52.95%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 10.5
26.52%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 10.5
73.48%
▼
(-0.40)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 1.5
42.65%
▲
(+5.45)
Under 1.5
57.35%
▼
(-5.45)
Over 2.5
19.69%
▲
(+3.54)
Under 2.5
80.31%
▼
(-3.54)
Over 3.5
7.58%
▲
(+1.87)
Under 3.5
92.42%
▼
(-1.86)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
66.44%
▼
(-3.86)
Under 0.5
33.56%
▲
(+3.87)
Over 1.5
34.72%
▼
(-3.57)
Under 1.5
65.28%
▲
(+3.57)
Over 2.5
14.17%
▼
(-2.21)
Under 2.5
85.83%
▲
(+2.21)
Over 3.5
4.65%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 3.5
95.35%
▲
(+1.11)
Score analysis
Luxembourg
43.14%
Draw
23.6%
Bulgaria
33.27%
Luxembourg
1-0
@
9.34%
▲
(+0.60)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+1.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+1.27)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.71)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 7.38% ▲ (+2.04)
Total : 43.14%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+1.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+1.27)
3-1 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.71)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.59)
3-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 7.38% ▲ (+2.04)
Total : 43.14%
Draw
1-1
@
10.6%
▼
(-0.65)
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 23.6%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.63)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 23.6%
Bulgaria
0-1
@
7.93%
▼
(-1.38)
1-2 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.83)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.91)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.57)
0-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.94)
Total : 33.27%
1-2 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.83)
0-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.91)
1-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.57)
0-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.94)
Total : 33.27%
Head to Head
Nations League
Gameweek
1
-
Asen Chandarov
18'
-
Lukas Petkov
28'
-
Emil Tsenov
35'
-
Leandro Barreiro
37'
-
Tomás Cruz
45'+2'
-
Vincent Thill
65'
-
Dirk Carlson
83'
Nations League
-
Florian Bohnert
58'
-
Laurent Jans
61'
-
Christopher Martins Pereira
84'
-
Andrian Kraev
23'
-
Kiril Despodov
28'
-
Georgi Milanov
43'
-
Vasil Panayotov
53'
Nations League
-
Aleksandar Kolev
4'
-
Valentin Antov
20'
-
Alex Petkov
45'
-
Zhivko Atanasov
51'
-
Fabian Nurnberger
60'
-
Georgi Kostadinov
64'
-
Alessio Curci
18'
-
Marvin da Graca
28'
-
Christopher Martins Pereira
36'
-
Dirk Carlson
38'
-
Florian Bohnert
51'
-
Gerson Rodrigues
64'
International Friendlies
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
-
Olivier Thill
3'
-
Ivailo Chochev
68'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
-
Dimitar Rangelov
16'
-
Marcelino
65'
-
Ivelin Popov
79'
-
Aleksandar Tonev
92'
-
Aurelien Joachim
60'
-
Aurelien Joachim
62'
-
Florian Bohnert
91'