International Friendlies
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-
Dirk Carlson
90'+3'
-
Pio Esposito
49'
-
Luca Lipani
51'
Luxembourg vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.87% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.47%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood.
Result
Luxembourg
13.11%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
21.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Italy
65.02%
▲
(+0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
43.11%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.48%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
28.52%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 2.5
46.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
53.95%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
26.04%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
73.96%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
16.01%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
83.99%
▲
(+0.18)
First Half Winner
Luxembourg
13.39%
▼
(-0.61)
Draw
38.04%
▼
(-0.17)
Italy
48.57%
▲
(+0.78)
Team To Score First
Luxembourg
20.49%
▼
(-2.12)
No Goal
8.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Italy
71.34%
▲
(+2.08)
Corners
Over 8
49.53%
▼
(-0.82)
Equal 8
12.09%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 8
38.38%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 9
37.98%
▼
(-0.47)
Equal 9
11.55%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 9
50.47%
▲
(+0.82)
Over 10.5
27.84%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 10.5
72.16%
▲
(+0.12)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 1.5
13.96%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
86.04%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 2.5
2.97%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
97.03%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
0.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
99.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5
83.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
16.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
54.48%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
45.52%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 2.5
27.82%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
72.18%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
11.78%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
88.22%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Luxembourg
13.1%
Draw
21.87%
Italy
65.01%
Luxembourg
1-0
@
5.28%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 13.1%
2-1 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 13.1%
Draw
1-1
@
9.97%
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.87%
0-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.87%
Italy
0-1
@
15.05%
▲
(+0.24)
0-2 @ 13.47% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 65.01%
0-2 @ 13.47% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 9.06% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 65.01%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
-
Claudio Marchisio
9'
-
Ignazio Abate
89'
-
Chris Philipps
50'
-
Maxime Chanot
85'
-
Maxime Chanot
86'