Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw has a probability of 21.74% and a win for Luxembourg has a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Luxembourg win it is 1-0 (5.12%).