International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Josy Barthel

Luxembourg vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Italy

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw has a probability of 21.74% and a win for Luxembourg has a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Luxembourg win it is 1-0 (5.12%).

Result

Luxembourg 12.92% (-0.07)
Draw 21.74% (-0.05)
Italy 65.37% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.41% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.81% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 46.77% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 53.23% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 26.65% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.35% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.54% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.46% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Luxembourg 13.96% (+0.02)
Draw 38.14% (-0.05)
Italy 47.9% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Luxembourg 22.56% (+0.01)
No Goal 8% (-0.01)
Italy 69.44%

Corners

Over 8 50.24% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 37.4%
Over 9 38.36% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 49.76% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 27.91% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.09% (-0.02)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 1.5 14.07% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 85.93% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 3.14% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 96.86% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.34% (+0.02)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 84.14% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.86% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 55.32% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 44.68% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 28.5% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 71.5% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 12.21% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 87.79% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 12.92%
Draw 21.74%
Italy 65.36%
Luxembourg
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.65% (-0.02)
Total : 12.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.74%
Italy
0-1 @ 14.71% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 13.7% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 7.61% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 12.2% (+0.05)
Total : 65.36%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Claudio Marchisio 9' goal
  • Ignazio Abate 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Philipps 50'
  • goal Maxime Chanot 85'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 86'