Nations League
Mar 31, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Vincent Thill 20' goal
  • Danel Sinani 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Danel Sinani 50' goal
  • Enes Mahmutovic 57' yellowcard
  • Sébastien Thill 57' yellowcard
  • Sébastien Thill 58' yellowcard
  • Yvandro Borges Sanches 68' yellowcard
  • Tomás Moreira 68' yellowcard
  • Tomás Moreira 70' goal
  • Jayson Videira 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Corbalan 46'
  • yellowcard Jean Borg 62'
  • yellowcard Keyon Ewurum 62'
  • yellowcard Myles Beerman 74'
  • yellowcard Adam Magri Overend 82'

Luxembourg vs Malta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
Malta 0 - 2 Luxembourg

Malta

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
Malta 0 - 2 Luxembourg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Malta had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Malta win was 0-1 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Luxembourg 48.5% (-0.04)
Draw 22.83%
Malta 28.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.42% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.58% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 56.93% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.07% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.36% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 64.64% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.35% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 77.65% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Luxembourg 36.94%
Draw 42.12%
Malta 20.94%

Team To Score First

Luxembourg 58.4%
No Goal 5.81%
Malta 35.79%

Corners

Over 8 41.5%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 47.03%
Over 9 31.21%
Equal 9 10.29%
Under 9 58.5%
Over 10.5 22.66%
Under 10.5 77.34%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 1.5 48.67% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 51.33% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.73% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 75.27% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 11.09% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.91% (+0.04)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5 62.29% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.71% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.45% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.63% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.37% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Luxembourg 48.49%
Draw 22.83%
Malta 28.67%
Luxembourg
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.85% (-0.04)
Total : 48.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.83%
Malta
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.39% (-0.03)
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Jake Grech 37' yellowcard
  • Juan Corbalan 78' yellowcard
  • Trent Buhagiar 78' yellowcard
  • Brandon Paiber 87' yellowcard
  • Andrea Zammit 87' yellowcard
  • goal Vincent Thill 47'
  • yellowcard Sébastien Thill 68'
  • yellowcard Tiago Pereira Cardoso 69'
  • yellowcard Jayson Videira 69'
  • yellowcard Tomás Moreira 88'
  • goal Mathias Olesen 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Enzo Duarte 90'+6'
International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2023 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • goal Kyrian Nwoko 64'