Nations League
Mar 26, 2026 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Ta'Qali National Stadium
  • Jake Grech 37' yellowcard
  • Juan Corbalan 78' yellowcard
  • Trent Buhagiar 78' yellowcard
  • Brandon Paiber 87' yellowcard
  • Andrea Zammit 87' yellowcard
  • goal Vincent Thill 47'
  • yellowcard Sébastien Thill 68'
  • yellowcard Tiago Pereira Cardoso 69'
  • yellowcard Jayson Videira 69'
  • yellowcard Tomás Moreira 88'
  • goal Mathias Olesen 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Enzo Duarte 90'+6'

Malta vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions

Luxembourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 0-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Malta 44.95%
Draw 23.54%
Luxembourg 31.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.5% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.03% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.97% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 53.39% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.61% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 31.78% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 68.19%
Over 4.5 19.16% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.84% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Malta 37.13%
Draw 40.55%
Luxembourg 22.32%

Team To Score First

Malta 57.93%
No Goal 6.49%
Luxembourg 35.58%

Corners

Over 8 46.81%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 42.01%
Over 9 36.32%
Equal 9 10.49%
Under 9 53.19%
Over 10.5 27.21%
Under 10.5 72.79%

Malta Goals

Over 1.5 43.59% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.41% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.69% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.9% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.1% (+0.01)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 64.35% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 35.65% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.81% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.92% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.08% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.02% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.98% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Malta 44.96%
Draw 23.53%
Luxembourg 31.51%
Malta
1-0 @ 10.08% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 7.79%
Total : 44.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 23.53%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 7.4% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.91% (-0.01)
Total : 31.51%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2023 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • goal Kyrian Nwoko 64'