Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm
Sportland Arena

Estonia vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions

Luxembourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Estonia has a probability of 27.32% and a draw has a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Estonia win is 1-0 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.41%).

Result

Estonia 27.32%
Draw 27.02%
Luxembourg 45.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.49%
Under 1.5 29.51%
Over 2.5 45.56%
Under 2.5 54.44%
Over 3.5 24.5%
Under 3.5 75.5%
Over 4.5 13.52%
Under 4.5 86.48%

First Half Winner

Estonia 21.84%
Draw 46.9%
Luxembourg 31.26%

Team To Score First

Estonia 38.7%
No Goal 8.78%
Luxembourg 52.52%

Corners

Over 8 39.48%
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 48.31%
Over 9 28.78%
Equal 9 10.7%
Under 9 60.52%
Over 10.5 20.14%
Under 10.5 79.86%

Estonia Goals

Over 1.5 26.62%
Under 1.5 73.38%
Over 2.5 9.12%
Under 2.5 90.88%
Over 3.5 2.66%
Under 3.5 97.34%

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 73.96%
Under 0.5 26.04%
Over 1.5 41.18%
Under 1.5 58.82%
Over 2.5 17.82%
Under 2.5 82.18%
Over 3.5 6.24%
Under 3.5 93.76%

Score analysis

Estonia 27.33%
Draw 27.03%
Luxembourg 45.64%
Estonia
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-1 @ 6.34%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 27.03%
Luxembourg
0-1 @ 11.88%
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-2 @ 8.26%
1-3 @ 4.22%
0-3 @ 4.08%
2-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 6%
Total : 45.64%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2018 6.00pm
Stade am Petz (Weidingen)