Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
Laugardalsvöllur

Iceland vs Estonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Estonia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iceland win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw has a probability of 24.38% and a win for Estonia has a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.47%) , while for a Estonia win it is 1-2 (5.63%).

Result

Iceland 51.89%
Draw 24.38%
Estonia 23.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67%
Under 1.5 23.33%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%
Over 3.5 34.54%
Under 3.5 65.46%
Over 4.5 22.27%
Under 4.5 77.73%

First Half Winner

Iceland 35.04%
Draw 40.61%
Estonia 24.35%

Team To Score First

Iceland 53.04%
No Goal 7.49%
Estonia 39.47%

Corners

Over 8 55.67%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 32.35%
Over 9 43.65%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 44.33%
Over 10.5 32.62%
Under 10.5 67.38%

Iceland Goals

Over 1.5 50.06%
Under 1.5 49.94%
Over 2.5 26.26%
Under 2.5 73.74%
Over 3.5 11.67%
Under 3.5 88.33%

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 57.57%
Under 0.5 42.43%
Over 1.5 27.77%
Under 1.5 72.23%
Over 2.5 11.33%
Under 2.5 88.67%
Over 3.5 4.38%
Under 3.5 95.62%

Score analysis

Iceland 51.89%
Draw 24.39%
Estonia 23.72%
Iceland
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 11.32%
Total : 51.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.39%
Estonia
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-1 @ 5.48%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 23.72%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jan 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio da Nora
  • Andri Gudjohnsen 90'+1' goal
  • goal Sergei Zenjov 45'
International Friendlies
Jan 15, 2019 4.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Aron Elis Thrandarson 21'