Baltic Cup
Jun 9, 2026 5.00pm
A. Le Coq Arena

Estonia vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions

Lithuania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Estonia has a probability of 33.98% and a draw has a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Estonia win is 1-0 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result

Estonia 33.98%
Draw 25.42%
Lithuania 40.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8%
Under 1.5 24.2%
Over 2.5 53.73%
Under 2.5 46.27%
Over 3.5 32.66%
Under 3.5 67.34%
Over 4.5 19.5%
Under 4.5 80.5%

First Half Winner

Estonia 25.52%
Draw 45.92%
Lithuania 28.57%

Team To Score First

Estonia 42.34%
No Goal 6.93%
Lithuania 50.73%

Corners

Over 8 41.66%
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 47.17%
Over 9 31.62%
Equal 9 10.05%
Under 9 58.34%
Over 10.5 23.24%
Under 10.5 76.76%

Estonia Goals

Over 1.5 35.98%
Under 1.5 64.02%
Over 2.5 15.48%
Under 2.5 84.52%
Over 3.5 5.63%
Under 3.5 94.37%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5 72.51%
Under 0.5 27.49%
Over 1.5 41.3%
Under 1.5 58.7%
Over 2.5 19.16%
Under 2.5 80.84%
Over 3.5 7.26%
Under 3.5 92.74%

Score analysis

Estonia 33.98%
Draw 25.42%
Lithuania 40.6%
Estonia
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.38%
Other @ 5.32%
Total : 33.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.42%
Lithuania
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.9%
Other @ 6.95%
Total : 40.6%

Head to Head

Baltic Cup
Jun 11, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT S. Dariaus ir S. GirÄ—no stadionas
  • Giedrius Matulevicius 84' goal
  • yellowcard Maksim Paskotsi 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Schjonning-Larsen 71'
  • goal Mark Anders Lepik 82'
  • yellowcard Martin Vetkal 90'+2'
Baltic Cup
Nov 19, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT A. Le Coq Arena
  • Sergei Zenjov 65' goal
  • Rasmus Peetson 89' goal
Baltic Cup
Jun 1, 2021 5.00pm
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT A. Le Coq Arena
  • Mark Anders Lepik 51' yellowcard
  • Pavel Marin 59' goal
  • Pavel Marin 72' yellowcard
  • goal Arvydas Novikovas 14'
  • goal Gratas Sirgedas 32'
  • goal Arvydas Novikovas 46'
International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2020 5.00pm
A. Le Coq Arena
European Championship
Sep 5, 2015 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Konstantin Vassiljev 71' goal
  • Ats Purje 79' yellowcard
  • Aleksander Dmitrijev 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Deivydas Matulevicius 30'
  • yellowcard Marius Zaliukas 65'
  • yellowcard Deividas Cesnauskis 69'