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Patrik Kristal
31'
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Patrik Kristal
32'
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Robi Saarma
42'
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Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
44'
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Mihhail Kolobov
75'
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Karel Mustmaa
80'
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Kevor Palumets
85'
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85'
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Gvidas Gineitis
31'
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31'
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Justas Lasickas
40'
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Vilius Armalas
54'
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Modestas Vorobjovas
55'
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74'
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Edgaras Utkus
76'
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Armandas Kucys
86'
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86'
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Eligijus Jankauskas
90'+2'
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Eligijus Jankauskas
90'+3'
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Arnas Voitinovičius
90'+3'
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Tomas Kalinauskas
90'+5'
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Lukas Michelbrink
90'+5'
Estonia vs Lithuania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result
Estonia
33.98%
Draw
25.42%
Lithuania
40.6%
Both Teams to Score:
54.03%
Goals
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Over 2.5
53.73%
Under 2.5
46.27%
Over 3.5
32.66%
Under 3.5
67.34%
Over 4.5
19.5%
Under 4.5
80.5%
First Half Winner
Estonia
25.52%
Draw
45.92%
Lithuania
28.57%
Team To Score First
Estonia
42.34%
No Goal
6.93%
Lithuania
50.73%
Corners
Over 8
41.66%
Equal 8
11.16%
Under 8
47.17%
Over 9
31.62%
Equal 9
10.05%
Under 9
58.34%
Over 10.5
23.24%
Under 10.5
76.76%
Estonia Goals
Over 1.5
35.98%
Under 1.5
64.02%
Over 2.5
15.48%
Under 2.5
84.52%
Over 3.5
5.63%
Under 3.5
94.37%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5
72.51%
Under 0.5
27.49%
Over 1.5
41.3%
Under 1.5
58.7%
Over 2.5
19.16%
Under 2.5
80.84%
Over 3.5
7.26%
Under 3.5
92.74%
Score analysis
Estonia
33.98%
Draw
25.42%
Lithuania
40.6%
Estonia
1-0
@
8.12%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.38%
Other @ 5.32%
Total : 33.98%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.38%
Other @ 5.32%
Total : 33.98%
Draw
1-1
@
11.27%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.42%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.42%
Lithuania
0-1
@
9.15%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.9%
Other @ 6.95%
Total : 40.6%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.9%
Other @ 6.95%
Total : 40.6%